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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as China - US trade tensions rise

U.S. stocks are edging lower on Tuesday after the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ closed at record levels in the previous session. Sentiment is souring after news that China will begin banning the export of some rare minerals to the US in a tit-for-tat escalation of the tech war

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Yesterday 03:36 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of core-PCE data

U.S. stocks are mixed after stronger than forecast data and ahead of the key core PCE inflation report. US GDP was revised higher to 1.9% in Q3, up from 1.8%, boosted by solid consumer spending as inflation continued to cool. Meanwhile, jobless fell to 213k. The data points to the US economy being in a good place raising questions over the Fed's ability to cut rates. US core PCE is expected to rise to 2.8% YoY in October.

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November 27, 2024 03:36 PM

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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises despite Trump tariff threats

U.S. stocks are heading higher, building on recent gains, as investors weigh up the implications of Trump's tariffs on its top trade partners. President-elect Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and an additional 10% tariff on imports from China. Looking ahead, the minutes of the November Fed meeting will be released later and could provide more insight into the Fed's outlook for rates.

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November 26, 2024 03:00 PM
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S&P 500 (SPX) Bounce from Top of Trump Gap Leads to Test II of 6k

SPX has a sizable gap sitting below current price action and the top of that zone came into play for four consecutive days, while remaining well defended by bulls ahead of this week’s test of 6k.

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November 25, 2024 05:28 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls with PMI data up next

U.S. stocks are heading for a soft open, ending a broadly positive week on a more cautious tone ahead of the release of PMI data. The Dow Jones is on track to rise 1% this week, while the S&P 500 is set for 1.3% gains. The Nasdaq is up 1.6%. Attention is on US PMI data which is expected to show services and manufacturing PMIs rising in November.

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November 22, 2024 03:34 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: Futures rise as Nvidia stock rebounds

While the market appears bullish right now, the S&P 500 forecast is far from certain, especially with a lack of fresh bullish catalysts to consider. Could profit-taking negatively impact the market soon?

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November 21, 2024 02:30 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on slower Fed rate cut worries

U.S. stocks fall as investors digest stronger-than-expected US retail sales and more hawkish comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Powell said the Fed was in no rush to cut rates due to the solid economy, resilient jobs market, and interest still holding above 2%. As if on cue, US retail sales came in stronger than expected.

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November 15, 2024 03:54 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: Cooling off from overbought levels

So far, US stock investors appear unfazed by global softness in commodities and bond markets, even as the 10-year Treasury yield inches closer to 4.5%, reflecting a more hawkish interest rate outlook for next year. But with the dust settling on Trump’s election victory, could we finally see retracement to cause a bearish shift in the short-term S&P 500 forecast?

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November 14, 2024 04:49 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX inches higher after CPI rises, as expected

US stocks are edging lower after losses in the previous session as investors digest the latest US inflation data while looking ahead to more Fed speakers later today. US inflation was in line with forecasts, rising 0.2% MoM (2.6% YoY), while core inflation was also as expected, rising 0.3% MoM (3.3% YoY). The data supports a December rate cut.

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November 13, 2024 02:51 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hovers around record highs after a busy week

U.S. stocks are set to open modestly higher on Friday, remaining close to record highs reached this week as the markets digest the Federal Reserve rate cut following Trump's win and as investors look ahead to next week’s inflation data. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points as expected and te market sees another cut coming in December. However, rate cut expectations for next year have been lowered.

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November 8, 2024 03:31 PM
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Bitcoin the Big Winner, USD and Stocks Surge on Trump Victory

Markets are making big moves on the back of Trump’s win and if House results confirm a Republican supermajority, there could be drive for even further highs in stocks and Bitcoin. The US Dollar, however…

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US Dollar In Focus for the Election: Rates, Stocks Set for Volatility

The US Dollar was very strong in October as rising odds of a Trump win started to get priced-in to markets, but can equities avoid a pullback if longer-term US rates continue to fly-higher?

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of the US election & Fed meeting this week

U.S. stocks are rising very modestly, and trade is cautious ahead of this week's upcoming US elections and the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The polls remain incredibly close, with Kamala gaining some ground. The VIX index, which is considered a measure of market fear, is above its 30-day moving average, although it's still well below where it was the week before the 2020 election.

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November 4, 2024 03:00 PM