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NZD/USD: Kiwi Craters as Deep Recession Fuels RBNZ Rate Cut Bets

New Zealand’s economy is in freefall, with a deep recession and dire GDP data sparking bets on aggressive RBNZ rate cuts. Add a hawkish Fed twist, and NZD/USD has plunged to two-year lows. Could .5515 be the next stop?

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December 18, 2024 11:42 PM
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AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD: Commodity Currencies Hitch a Ride on China’s Yield Curve Rollercoaster

Commodity currencies are dancing to the tune of Chinese bond yields, with AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD locked in striking correlations. The Fed’s dot plot may stir the pot later today, but China’s yield curve rollercoaster isn’t slowing down anytime soon.

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December 18, 2024 02:40 AM

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NZD/USD: Rebound Hopes Rise but Fed Rate Path Remains Key

NZD/USD has been as flightless as its namesake in 2024, but with a hawkish Fed rate cut expected and signs of life at home, could the Kiwi finally be ready to spread its wings?

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December 17, 2024 12:39 AM
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD: Fed Meeting cements shift from China proxy to rates play

Temporarily shifting from China proxies, AUD/USD and NZD/USD are now dancing to the tune of rate differentials. With the Fed set to update its economic projections next week, traders are eyeing a potential hawkish twist that could amplify Antipodean anguish. Will its rate signals intensify the USD’s dominance, or offer a lifeline to the Aussie and Kiwi?

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December 12, 2024 11:49 PM
Uptrend

NZD/USD shifting from US rates play to trade war proxy?

NZD/USD is gaining momentum, with US rates diminishing as the dominant driver. With trade war risks back on the radar, the Kiwi’s trajectory could hinge on global sentiment. Can it weather the turbulence?

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November 28, 2024 02:38 AM
Market chart showing uptrend

RBNZ cuts 50bps, signals higher neutral estimate; NZD/USD surges as rate cut slowdown looms

The RBNZ took the safe option in delivering a 50bps cut, but hawkish signals have traders buzzing. Can NZD/USD sustain its breakout momentum, or will the US dollar reclaim control?

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November 27, 2024 03:03 AM
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NZD/USD, AUD/NZD: RBNZ to mull dovish cut in face of tariffs, Trump 2.0

The consensus is 50bp, market pricing leans towards 75bp. Whatever the RBNZ decide to do today, it comes down to whether they will signal further cuts, as to whether NZD/USD continues to depreciate or bounce on a "sell the rumour, buy the fact" reaction.

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Trump tariff threat roils markets: USD surges, CAD, AUD, NZD sink

Trump’s tariff threats send shockwaves through markets, driving the USD higher as trade-reliant currencies plunge. USD/CAD breaks to pandemic highs, while AUD and NZD reel from fears of escalating protectionism.

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November 26, 2024 01:42 AM
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NZD/USD Rebounds Ahead of 2023 Low with RBNZ Expected to Cut

NZD/USD bounces back ahead of the 2023 low (0.5774) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 30.

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By : David Song
November 25, 2024 09:22 PM
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RBNZ preview: Will Orr's 'Shock and Awe' return as key rates decision looms?

New Zealand’s economy is crawling despite aggressive rate cuts, leaving the RBNZ staring down a crucial decision: play it safe or unleash Adrian Orr’s hallmark “shock and awe” with a bold move next week. Could a 75bp cut be the surprise markets aren’t ready for?

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November 22, 2024 04:54 AM

AUD, CAD, NZD lead the pack as commodity-FX bounce enters third day

Hot CPI from Canada, a rise of geopolitical tensions and increased threat of tariffs played nicely for commodity FX bulls, with AUD, CAD and NZD leading the pack among FX majors on Tuesday. And there could be some wriggle room for further gains.

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Silver, NZD/USD: Quiet U.S. calendar provides window for countertrend squeezes

Silver and NZD/USD have plunged to fresh lows as higher U.S. rates and dollar strength dominate. But with a quiet calendar next week, the risk of a near-term short squeeze is rising. Key chart levels are in play, offering traders new opportunities on both sides of the market.

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November 14, 2024 11:57 PM
Uptrend

NZD/USD: Overlooked RBNZ inflation survey may jolt sleepy markets

Monday’s RBNZ Survey of Expectations is often overlooked, but this time it could be the key catalyst for NZD/USD. With markets split on the size of the next rate cut, this release could swing sentiment fast. Traders need to be ready for a potential surprise.

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November 10, 2024 11:46 PM
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD surge as traders bet big on supersized China stimulus

AUD/USD and NZD/USD soared on Thursday, driven by speculation of a massive ¥12 trillion China stimulus package. Rumours of bold measures to boost consumption sent risk assets rallying, but traders are now eyeing the Politburo for confirmation. With no set announcement time, Friday's decision could make or break the recent surge in Aussie and Kiwi.

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November 7, 2024 11:05 PM