Fundamental Analysis
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2025’s Biggest Surprise: Could China’s Economy Fall Off a Cliff?
Chinese consumer confidence is weak, domestic consumption remains muted, and unemployment among youth has surged, raising concerns about unrest and long-term stagnation.
2025 Bitcoin Fundamental Outlook
See a fundamental preview of our full 2025 Bitcoin Outlook report!
2025 AUD/USD Fundamental Outlook Preview
See a fundamental preview of our full 2025 AUD/USD Outlook report!
2025 EUR/USD Outlook Fundamental Preview
See a preview of our full 2025 EUR/USD Outlook report!
2025 Crude Oil Fundamental Preview
See a preview of our 2025 Crude Oil Outlook report!
2025 GBP/USD Outlook Fundamental Preview
See a technical preview of our 2025 GBP/USD Outlook!
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Testing 2024 Highs, PMIs on Tap
A confirmed GBP/USD break above previous highs in the 1.3050 zone opens the door for a continuation toward 1.3150, whereas a reversal near here could take the pair back toward previous-resistance-turned-support in the upper-1.28s next
USD/JPY: History suggests US recession fears may soon return, creating renewed downside risks
US recession fears have eased, helped by stronger-than-expected activity data from the services sector and a sizeable drop in initial jobless claims last week. But the relative calm in markets may not last for long with history pointing to the risk that recession concerns may soon flare again.
Bad Economic News is Once Again Bad Bitcoin News - Cryptoasset Weekly Update (August 3 2024)
Traders now fear that the Fed is “behind the curve” and risks tipping the US economy into recession – bad (economic) news is once again bad news (for Bitcoin and other risk assets).
NFP Preview: Are the Fed’s Fears of a Jobs Market Slowdown Justified?
Leading indicators point to a below expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 125K-175K range.
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Digests Data, Core PCE on Tap
EUR/USD is trying to stage a bounce off the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the late-June to mid-July rally
GBP/USD: Thumping Labour election victory? Meh, wake me up for payrolls
Labour has secured a thumping victory in the UK general election. GBP/USD is unmoved on the news, reflecting the result was priced in months ago. But the lack of volatility is also explained by its on the charts. It sits at an important level, making today’s June US nonfarm payrolls report a potential catalyst for a sizeable market move.
NFP Preview: US Dollar Bounce Potential if Jobs Data Doesn’t Disappoint
NFP leading indicators point to a slightly above expectation reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 175-225K range.
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Enters a Key Period With Everything to Play For
GBP/USD slipped last week on a moderately dovish BOE – what should traders be watching this week?