Fundamental Analysis

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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Testing 2024 Highs, PMIs on Tap

A confirmed GBP/USD break above previous highs in the 1.3050 zone opens the door for a continuation toward 1.3150, whereas a reversal near here could take the pair back toward previous-resistance-turned-support in the upper-1.28s next

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USD/JPY: History suggests US recession fears may soon return, creating renewed downside risks

US recession fears have eased, helped by stronger-than-expected activity data from the services sector and a sizeable drop in initial jobless claims last week. But the relative calm in markets may not last for long with history pointing to the risk that recession concerns may soon flare again.

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Bad Economic News is Once Again Bad Bitcoin News - Cryptoasset Weekly Update (August 3 2024)

Traders now fear that the Fed is “behind the curve” and risks tipping the US economy into recession – bad (economic) news is once again bad news (for Bitcoin and other risk assets).

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NFP Preview: Are the Fed’s Fears of a Jobs Market Slowdown Justified?

Leading indicators point to a below expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 125K-175K range.

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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Digests Data, Core PCE on Tap

EUR/USD is trying to stage a bounce off the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the late-June to mid-July rally

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GBP/USD: Thumping Labour election victory? Meh, wake me up for payrolls

Labour has secured a thumping victory in the UK general election. GBP/USD is unmoved on the news, reflecting the result was priced in months ago. But the lack of volatility is also explained by its on the charts. It sits at an important level, making today’s June US nonfarm payrolls report a potential catalyst for a sizeable market move.

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NFP Preview: US Dollar Bounce Potential if Jobs Data Doesn’t Disappoint

NFP leading indicators point to a slightly above expectation reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 175-225K range.

British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Enters a Key Period With Everything to Play For

GBP/USD slipped last week on a moderately dovish BOE – what should traders be watching this week?

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How US government bond auctions work and why they’re important to financial markets

Bond markets make the financial world go round, helping to grease the wheels of commerce, allowing the economy activity to expand. But when too much debt is issued, it can overwhelm demand, causing borrowing costs to spike which can be detrimental to the economy.

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RBA backs uncertain productivity turnaround to achieve inflation target

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept Australia’s cash rate unchanged at 4.35% in May but refrained from increasing its longer-term underlying inflation forecasts, limiting the risk of a near-term interest rate hike.

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NFP Preview: US Dollar Bounce Potential if Jobs Remain Strong

The US dollar is testing support and the NFP leading indicators point to a slightly above expectation reading this month, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 200-250K range

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FOMC Meeting Recap: US Dollar (DXY) Drops as Powell Feeds the Doves

The US dollar initially fell and indices rose as traders interpreted the Fed meeting and press conference as dovish.

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USD/JPY Forecast: BOJ and Fed Enter the Arena, Yields in Focus

USD/JPY's key technical levels to watch in the coming days include possible resistance at 149.70 and 151.00, with support down at 148.70 and 145.85.

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Hold your horses before buying copper’s bullish break

Those considering buying the break may want to look at copper’s lousy track record when it’s been this overbought on the four hourly chart in the past.