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2025 Central Bank Outlook Preview

Major central banks may further adjust monetary policy in 2025 as the European Central Bank (ECB) insists that ‘the disinflation process is well on track,’ but the Federal Reserve may change gears at a slower pace as Chairman Jerome Powell and Co. forecast less rate-cuts for next year.

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By : David Song
December 24, 2024 12:30 AM
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FOMC Preview: Cut Then “Prudent Pause” from Powell?

EUR/USD has carved out a narrow range between 1.0470 and 1.0600 and unless the Fed delivers a meaningful surprise of some sort, that range may carry over.

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December 17, 2024 05:12 PM

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USD/JPY, gold, S&P 500 analysis: How markets have traded around Fed decisions

The USD has remained supported on expectations of a considerably-less dovish Fed. But with 'Fed day' generally being bearish for the dollar alongside its tendency to selloff into the year end, I have an inkling we're heading towards a "buy the rumour, sell the fact" for the USD.

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GBPUSD Forecast: Pound Slips Amid GDP Contraction, Eyeing Critical Support Level

GBPUSD Forecast: the pound’s drop against the dollar’s rally was cushioned at the 1.2480 low, further supported by rate hold expectations given the inflationary risks of UK’s new labor law. However, today’s contracting GDP reading at -0.1% reflects growth concerns and adds complexities to next week’s BOE decision.

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December 13, 2024 11:13 AM
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DJIA Forecast: The Dow Declines After the NFP

The Dow has managed to surpass the 44,000-point barrier and currently maintains steady growth of just over 7% since November.

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December 10, 2024 08:39 PM
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US CPI Preview: Could a HOT Inflation Report Revive a Fed Pause?

The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25bps regardless of the CPI reading, though a hotter-than-expected print could certainly raise some questions for USD/CAD

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December 10, 2024 03:17 PM
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NFP Preview: Could a Strong Jobs Report Put a December Fed Pause in Play?

The Fed is likely, but not certain, to cut interest rates by 25bps later this month, and a strong NFP report could reopen the door for close decision.

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December 5, 2024 04:26 PM
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US Dollar: A Contrarian Perspective on How Trump’s Second Term Could Weaken the USD

How a shift in trade policy, the extension of tax cuts, the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and potential threats to Federal Reserve independence could pave the way for a weaker greenback under Trump.

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December 4, 2024 07:57 PM

The Fed, ECB, and More Explained: Central Bank FAQs for Forex Traders

Learn how the Fed, ECB, and BOJ impact forex markets. Get answers to FAQs on interest rates, currency trends, and trading strategies in this must-read guide.

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November 20, 2024 09:12 PM
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Relentless USD rally extends after Powell hints at slower pace of cuts

The USD bullish rally continued to rage after Powell bluntly said that the Fed may not be in a hurry to cut rates, citing a strong labour market and a "remarkably strong" economy.

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Gold Forecast: What Would it Take for the Fed to Pause in December?

Gold’s now testing its 100-day MA and the 14-day RSI is at its lowest level in a year, hinting at a near-term bounce.

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November 14, 2024 07:00 PM
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USDJPY Forecast: Will the CPI Reverse the Dollar Rally?

USDJPY Forecast: The bull run of the US Dollar Index has pushed the USDJPY back in the borders of its primary uptrend, and further volatility risks are on the horizon with the US CPI results.

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November 13, 2024 09:48 AM
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Kashkari drops the 'p' word ahead of US CPI, USD/CHF stands firm

With Kashkari throwing the word ‘pause’ into the mix ahead of a US CPI report, traders should brace themselves for further USD gains should it come in hotter than expected.

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BoE & Fed Interest Rate Decisions Today: Key Market Moves

Key Economic Events: BoE and Fed Rate Decisions Today, both the Bank of England (BoE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) are expected to announce interest rate cuts, which could impact global markets, especially stocks, forex pairs, and commodities.