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Crude Oil Week Ahead: China, PMIs, and FOMC Meeting
Crude Oil Week Ahead: After OPEC’s fifth downward revision for 2024 oil forecasts and additional cuts for 2025, crude oil prices stabilized near their 4-year support zone, buoyed by China’s stimulus commitments and significant Middle East reforms. Will it hold on FOMC week?
Crude Oil, Gold Forecast: China and Geopolitics Revive Oil and Gold Trends
Crude Oil, Gold Forecast: Following China’s commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy in 2025, demand sentiment for Chinese oil and gold has surged, pushing crude oil above $70 and gold above $2,700. Middle East tensions continue to reinforce support levels for these commodities as drastic regional developments unfold.
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Gold Update: China's Stimulus Limits Bearish Action
Gold prices have shown a 6% growth since November, reaching the $2,700 per troy ounce level once again.
USD/JPY, AUD/JPY rally with China during risk-on trade
China's stock markets were given a nice bump on Monday after the Politburo announced an easing of policy stance. This allowed AUD/JPY and USD/JPY to deliver strong bounce from key support levels, as the yen weakened during a risk-on session for FX and commodities.
Crude Oil Forecast: Will the 2021 Support Hold Amid Global Shifts?
Crude Oil Forecast: The December 2021 support level remains a key factor amid shifting data on US inventories, Middle East conflicts and ceasefire hopes, economic indicators, and supply quotas. Will it hold through 2024?
Crude Oil Week Ahead: China, BRICS, and PMIs
Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil wrapped up the third week of October with a sharp 9% loss, driven by weaker Chinese economic data and reduced concerns about oil supply disruptions. Looking ahead, key events between Chinese policies, BRICS, and PMIs are expected to influence crude oil’s trajectory in the coming week.
Crude Oil Forecast: Declining Demand vs Supply Risk
Crude Oil Forecast: Crude oil is currently hovering around the $70 mark, caught between bearish momentum driven by a declining demand outlook and supply disruption risks, particularly in the Middle East.
China A50 Forecast: How Today’s Surge Mirrors 2014, and What That May Mean Moving Forward
China’s A50 index is mirroring the 2014-2015 surge, the last time policymakers enacted coordinated fiscal/monetary/macroprudential stimulus measures - what does that mean moving forward?
China CNY CB Leading Index m/m today
The composite economic indicators are critical components of an analytic system meant to identify business cycle peaks and troughs. The indexes, which combine numerous independent data, provide a better and more persuasive summary of economic trends than individual components.
Crude Oil Forecast: Week Ahead
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil market volatility is expected next week with Powell’s economic outlook and crude oil inventory updates.
Hang Seng, China A50 looking to turn the tide
With support in place and momentum trying to turn higher, we’re now looking for additional gains on the China A50 and Hang Seng.
A busy week awaits, despite US data taking a back seat: The Week Ahead
US data steps away from the limelight to make way for inflation reports from the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Japan. And throw in an ECB meeting, Australian employment report and the CCP's Third Plenum for good measure.
The China A50 might hold 12k if these two key stocks can stabilise
China’s major stock market indices have been falling since the middle of May. With little in the way of a decent bounce higher, I continue to suspect one could be due.
USD/HKD holds the clues for the Hang Seng’s next move
The inverted relationship between USD/HKD and the Hang Seng remains strong. And with the latter retracing -92% over the past month and risk of the US dollar falling further, perhaps the Hang Seng is due a bounce.