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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Slips as Traders Reconsider a BOJ Hike in December
Traders are now pricing in 50/50 odds for both a BOJ rate hike and a Fed rate cut in December, setting USD/JPY up for volatility around key economic reports.
USD/JPY Rebounds as BoJ Ueda Pledges to Support Economic Activity
USD/JPY may further retrace the decline from the yearly high (161.95) as BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda insists that ‘monetary policy will continue to firmly support economic activity.’
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USDJPY, Silver Analysis: Dollar Rally Risks vs Yen and Silver
USDJPY, Silver Forecast: The US Dollar’s rally has pushed the yen to levels increasing Bank of Japan intervention risks and pressured silver to retest a critical yearly trendline, raising caution over potential further upward movements in the dollar.
USDJPY Forecast: Will the CPI Reverse the Dollar Rally?
USDJPY Forecast: The bull run of the US Dollar Index has pushed the USDJPY back in the borders of its primary uptrend, and further volatility risks are on the horizon with the US CPI results.
USDJPY Forecast: Japanese vs US Political Uncertainty
USDJPY Forecast: Bearish pressures on the yen have amplified following Japan's first political shift in 15 years. With the yen’s current weakness, heightened volatility is expected ahead of the BOJ policy decision, US elections, and the Fed rate decision.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Testing Resistance as Interest Rate Support Fades
USD/JPY has rallied more than 1,000 pips since mid-September, helped along by a surge in the 2yr yield spread between the US and Japan...but can it build on those gains from here?
USDJPY Forecast: Non-Farm Payroll Week
USDJPY Forecast: The DXY’s weakness is set to face a key test this week with the release of leading US economic indicators and non-farm payroll reports. Both the DXY and USDJPY are approaching critical support levels, one step away from a decline towards the July 2023 lows.
US Dollar Forecast: USD/JPY Defends Post-BoJ Recovery
USD/JPY may further retrace the decline from the monthly high (147.21) as it climbs a fresh weekly high (145.22).
USDJPY, Silver Analysis: Rate Cut, Rate Hold, and Haven Demand
USDJPY, Silver Analysis: After the Fed’s 50-bps rate cut and the BOJ's rate hold, the US Dollar Index (DXY) stabilized above December 2023 lows, supporting a rebound in USDJPY and a continued bullish trend for silver amid rising geopolitical tensions.
USDJPY, Silver Analysis: 50-bps Cut Stabilizes Dollar, Lifts Metals
USDJPY, Silver Analysis: Following the 50-bps rate cut, precious metals continue to advance within their primary uptrends, and the USDJPY stabilizes above its 140-support.
USDJPY and Gold Outlook: Fed and BOJ Policy Week
USDJPY, Gold Outlook: Rising odds of a 50bps Fed rate cut, now between 50-60%, have pushed the US Dollar to crucial lows, pressuring USDJPY below the 140 barrier and propelling gold towards fresh highs near the $2,600 barrier.
USD/JPY forecast: Mind the (yield) gap as Fed, BOJ interest rate decisions collide
USD/JPY could move wildly this week as dovish pricing for the US interest rate outlook collide with FOMC and BOJ policy decisions. It’s an environment that could resurrect carry trades or see then unwind rapidly. Be nimble and watch for obvious price signals to determine potential turning points.
FOMC, BOE and BOJ meetings in focus: The Week Ahead
Next week brings three major central bank meetings, none of which seem to be on the same page policy wise. The Fed are expected to cut by 25bp and potentially set the record straight on another ‘50bp’ cut November, whereas there’s also an outside chance the BOJ may surprise with an interest rate hike given their renewed hawkish narrative. And while the Bank of England are expected to hold rates, a soft set of inflation figures could bring forward bets of a November cut.
USDJPY Outlook: Bearish Pressures Amplified
USDJPY Outlook: As monetary policy cycles operate with a lag, the impact of US interest rates is increasingly evident in the weakening US labor market, pushing the USDJPY closer to its 2024 lows ahead of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) employment reports.