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Research

EUR/AUD turns higher, ASX 200 falters on sluggish Australian growth

Today's growth figures are unlikely to force the RBA into any easing action, but it has been enough to weigh on the Australian dollar and ASX 200. And this could allow EUR/AUD to continue higher after a 4-day retracement.

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Today 02:49 AM
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USD/JPY selloff loses steam around support, bounce incoming?

Having fallen over 5% from the November high already, the two days of indecision around support alongside a bullish divergence suggest USD/JPY could be vulnerable to some bullish mean reversion.

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GBP/USD Recovery Vulnerable as Bear Flag Formation Takes Shape

GBP/USD may stage additional attempts to test the May low (1.2446) as a bear-flag formation appears to be taking shape.

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By : David Song
Yesterday 08:55 PM
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Australian Dollar Short-term Outlook: AUD/USD Coils into Support

Australian Dollar is poised for a breakout with AUD/USD coiling just above support near the yearly lows. Battle lines drawn on the Aussie short-term technical charts.

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US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/JPY

The US Dollar finally pulled back from its aggressive Q4 breakout move, and this was fueled by the strongest weekly outing in EUR/USD in two years with last week’s bounce.

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USD/CHF Pullback Faces Positive Slope in 50-Day SMA

USD/CHF may defend the rally following the US election should it track the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.8692).

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By : David Song
Yesterday 04:56 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as China - US trade tensions rise

U.S. stocks are edging lower on Tuesday after the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ closed at record levels in the previous session. Sentiment is souring after news that China will begin banning the export of some rare minerals to the US in a tit-for-tat escalation of the tech war

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Yesterday 03:36 PM
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Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Threatens Bear Market Rebound

Euro rallied 2.5% off the yearly low with EUR/USD carving the December opening-range just below a key pivot zone. Battlelines drawn on the short-term technical charts.

Forex trading

EUR/JPY forecast: Technical Tuesday – December 3, 2024

The EUR/JPY is our featured technical chart, for not only a technical breakdown is looking increasingly likely, but the macro back backdrop makes for a bearish fundamental backdrop. In short, the euro is undermined because of Europe’s persistent economic and political challenges, while a potential rate hike from the Bank of Japan magnifies the yen's appeal. Against this backdrop, our short-term EUR/JPY forecast is bearish.

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DAX breaks 20,000 Amid Bullish Momentum and ECB Focus

The DAX is trading at 19,942.9, consolidating after a breakout above 20,000 and setting an all-time high at 20,039. While strong momentum supports further upside, overbought signals suggest a potential pullback or consolidation.

Multiple Euro bank notes in 20€, 50€ and 100€

EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises, but the outlook remains weak below 1.06. Oil rises ahead of inventory data & OPEC’s meeting later in the week

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Yesterday 10:46 AM

USD/NOK, NOK/JPY: Rate differentials and sentiment skew directional risks

Risk sentiment and rate differentials are dictating directional risks for USD/NOK and NOK/JPY. With weakening ties to US rates and oil, and carry trade flows dominating NOK/JPY, we look at setups as we head toward year-end.

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The US dollar, seasonality and what that could mean for December

While it is well documented that the USD tends to suffer in December, the dynamics of Trump at the helm alongside another important FOMC meeting could give seasonality a run for its money. But regardless of which way the dollar travels this month, there is a clear intra-month pattern that is worth factoring in to the equation.

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