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Materias primas al alza y China: riesgo para las infladas apuestas bajistas en el AUD/USD
Las múltiples buenas noticias para la previsión del dólar estadounidense y una gran reversión del AUD/USD el martes son síntomas de que el torrente de sentimiento bajista puede estar volteándose lentamente.
Previsión para el AUD/USD: por qué este patrón bajista de libro puede acabar fracasando
Señalé a finales de la semana pasada un posible patrón de continuación bajista en el AUD/USD. Sin embargo, cuanto más avanzaba esta semana, más me cuestionaba su potencial para romper a la baja.
El AUD/USD no se contagia de la alegría de los precios de materias primas
El AUD/USD se muestra pesado en los gráficos, hundiéndose por unos precios del hierro y de carbón en caída y por unos diferenciales de tasas de interés con los EE. UU en expansión.
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AUD: los problemas económicos internos elevan el riesgo de que el RBA abandone su política de endurecimiento
La parte mayor y más importante de la economía australiana atraviesa dificultades ante unos costos de financiamiento más altos, a lo que se suma que el Banco de la Reserva de Australia (RBA) puede verse forzado a comenzar a atenuar su política de tasas antes que otros bancos centrales, manteniendo al dólar australiano bajo presión.
AUD/USD: la subida propulsada del USD puede estar agotándose
Es aún demasiado pronto para volverse alcista en el AUD/USD, pero preparémonos para cuando finalmente sea el momento.
La racha de ganancias del EUR/AUD, a prueba ante la decisión del RBA sobre tasas
El EUR/AUD está camino de registrar su quinto día de ganancias consecutivo en el comienzo de la nueva semana de trading. El movimiento del par lo sitúa ya muy cerca de la resistencia de tendencia bajista en la que los alcistas se vieron frustrados en varias ocasiones desde mediados del año pasado.
Informe COT semanal: la exposición bajista al AUD alcanza un nuevo récord
Con -91.500 contratos netos cortos, es la exposición bajista más agresiva sobre los futuros del AUD por parte de grandes especuladores registrada.
European Open: Volatility Hints at an Upside Break for the S&P 500
A volatile candle seen during yesterday’s session has us on guard for a potential bullish breakout on the S&P 500 futures market today.
RBA taper creates turbulence for AUDUSD
As widely expected, at its monthly board meeting this afternoon, the RBA kept monetary policy on hold, including its targets of 10 basis points for the cash rate and the yield on the April 2024 Australian Government bond.
AU GDP beat fails to boost AUDUSD
A reprieve for the Australian economy today as Q2 GDP beat expectations as strength in household and government spending outweighed a drop in export volumes and a run down in inventories.
AU jobs beat unable to boost friendless AUDUSD
The Reserve Bank of Australia has consistently maintained it will not raise the cash rate away from its 0.10% emergency setting until inflation is sustainably between two and three percent.
Delta hinders plans for RBA to taper and highlights fragility of RBNZ tightening cycle
In another volatile session in Asia as the spread of delta variant intensifies across the region, the minutes from the RBA's August meeting outlined what might cause the RBA to reconsider its decision to taper its QE program.
How the Russell 2000 brushed off events in China to set up a period of outperformance
The last day of the trading month is upon us, finishing off a busy week that included earnings from “Big Tech” stocks, important US economic updates, and a stomach-churning ~10% fall in Chinese stock indices.
RBA back in the same boat as the FOMC, despite higher inflation
The RBA will be less concerned with inflation and more concerned with monetary stimulus
A tale of two metals, gold and copper
Six weeks have passed since the Feds hawkish shift at the June FOMC meeting that sent key metal prices spiralling lower. Copper has since recovered all of its lost ground and much more, while gold is trading -3.5% below its pre FOMC levels. In this article, we examine what comes next for gold and copper.
Fresh highs for the ASX200, despite likely extension of NSW lockdown
The fifth week of lockdown is underway for Greater Sydney, and with new Covid cases heading in the wrong direction, an extension of the current lockdown appears a formality.
Bitcoin rebounds following support from Elon Musk and Co
After appearing down and out this time yesterday, Bitcoin spring boarded higher overnight following a string of supportive comments from Elon Musk and Jack Dorsey at The B-Word conference, an event hosted by the Crypto Council for Innovation.
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S&P500 shakes off Delta scare to set sights on new highs
The spread of the Delta variant rattled global stock markets in the early part of this week. Investors fearful that it might lead to widespread lockdowns and become a significant hinderance to the economic recovery.
European Open: The FTSE’s Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place
The FTSE 100 held above key support yet its apparent rebound lacked enthusiasm below key resistance. And until they break, range-trading strategies may be preferable.
Delta spread to see RBA pause tapering, sending AUDUSD to fresh cycle lows
As noted in an article on the ASX200 yesterday, an extension and deepening of lockdowns in Greater Sydney and Victoria will likely see Australian Q3 GDP slide into negative territory. As of today, South Australia has entered a seven-day lockdown joining the drag on economic growth.
ASX200 succumbs to prospect of a negative Q3 GDP print ahead of RBA minutes
A remarkably resilient performance from the ASX200 last week as is it finished 1% higher at 7348, despite lockdowns in Victoria and Greater Sydney that from this week includes the key construction industry for the next two weeks.
Crude oil and OPEC - stronger united
Two weeks after a routine OPEC+ meeting ended in stalemate, a compromise was reached at an OPEC+ meeting over the weekend that will see a phased production increase and baseline increases for five members.
ASX200 range holds after stronger AU jobs offset by softer China GDP
A double header of sorts today for the ASX200 in the shape of Australian jobs data for June and China Q2 GDP, alongside June partials.