USD Perks Up AUD Slips Ahead Of Fed
The US dollar perked up mid-Asia, weighing notably on commodity currencies AUD and NZD ahead of the meeting. With a likely swing high in pace, AUD/USD could be headed for 70c.
With DXY currently within its 7th bearish session over the past 8, its plausible that traders were booking profits ahead of today’s Fed meeting, during an otherwise uneventful session. However, news that China were pushing back on US trade demands saw the USD spike across the board for FX and most commodities. Although at time of writing, AUD/USD is today’s weakest performer and largest move among majors and crosses.
Looking past the Aussie’s flash crash, which saw prices spike below 70c during low-liquidity trade, prices have mostly remained above 70c. However, we can see the 200-day eMA has capped as resistance whilst a series of lower highs formed. Furthermore, the 0.7207 and 0.7120 lower highs have accelerated away from the 200-eMA which shows a pickup of bearish momentum. Zooming into the candlesticks shows the 0.7120 high respected the 50-day eMA, and today’s action has broken beneath a bearish inside candle and 0.7078 to mark a breakout form compression and potential swing high at 0.7120.
We can see the hourly chart that prices broke beneath a retracement line. Traders could consider fading into a move beneath the 0.7060/83 resistance zone and / or the broken retracement line, with a view to target the 0.7039/44 lows. Beneath here opens-up the support zone above 70c. However, keep in mind that AUD has not seen a monthly close beneath 70c in nearly 10 years, so expect this level to be defended with vigour.
The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.
Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex, commodity futures, or digital assets, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to FOREX.com or GAIN Capital refer to StoneX Group Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.
Please note that foreign exchange and other leveraged trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved, seeking independent advice if necessary.
The products and services available to you at FOREX.com will depend on your location and on which of its regulated entities holds your account.
FOREX.com is a trading name of GAIN Global Markets Inc. which is authorized and regulated by the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority under the Securities Investment Business Law of the Cayman Islands (as revised) with License number 25033.
FOREX.com may, from time to time, offer payment processing services with respect to card deposits through StoneX Financial Ltd, Moor House First Floor, 120 London Wall, London, EC2Y 5ET.
GAIN Global Markets Inc. has its principal place of business at 30 Independence Blvd, Suite 300 (3rd floor), Warren, NJ 07059, USA., and is a wholly-owned subsidiary of StoneX Group Inc.
© FOREX.COM 2025