Trade War
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US Dollar: A Contrarian Perspective on How Trump’s Second Term Could Weaken the USD
How a shift in trade policy, the extension of tax cuts, the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and potential threats to Federal Reserve independence could pave the way for a weaker greenback under Trump.
Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, Gold
EUR/USD falls ahead of German inflation data, central bank speak. Gold looks to Fed Powell & Co at the ECB forum.
Hang Seng enters bull market but resistance looms
Whilst the promise of fiscal stimulus propelled Asian markets higher, news of Shanghai’s lockdown risks denting sentiment for the region.
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The Hang Seng leads the way (lower), 13k key for Nasdaq 100
Volatility for European and parts of Asia remain high for equity traders, yet US markets have shown minor signs of stability above key support levels.
The Hang Seng remains in freefall, Alibaba below 100
There seems to be little reprieve for investors in China with the Hang Seng falling to a post-pandemic low and Alibaba trading below 100.
Alibaba falls towards key support ahead of earnings
Alibaba is expected to report earnings for Q4 tomorrow, and it is likely to directly impact which way momentum turns from a key support level it currently hovers above.
China’s inflation softens, Metaverse looks to grow
Inflationary forces in China continued to defy global trends as both CPI and PPI data were down from last month.
The Hang Seng and Nikkei go their separate ways
The Hang Seng and Nikkei are like oil and water at the moment, with the former rising 10% from its lows and the latter falling 7% from its January high.
Asian indices hold key support, but for how long?
Several key markets have reached key support levels across Asia, so traders need to decide whether to buy at these lows or try and break them down further.
Hang Seng Enters Correction as Sentiment Sours
Asian equities were mostly lower yesterday as multiple drivers weighed on sentiment across the region. Futures markets are also pointing to a softer open today.
Housing data may start to worry investors; 30-year yields, USD/JPY
However, the Jackson Hole Symposium may be the catalyst bond traders are waiting for to determine their next move
China shucks US corn; commodity currencies lower
China said they would limit some corn imports and cancel several US cargos
Corn at 7-year highs. Will it continue?
Don’t be surprised if it pulls back first given the overbought conditions on the weekly timeframe.
Currency Pair of the Week: AUD/USD
The first week of June brings a plethora of data which could affect the next direction of AUD/USD
UK Claimant Count Better than Expected
With the revision lower to December’s number, the combined 2-month total is only +8,100!
Nice Double Bottom on AUD/NZD!
Price broke through the most recent highs, forming a double bottom price formation.
Week Ahead: Have We Seen the Top in Coronavirus Cases?
Has the rate of increase topped on newly discovered Coronavirus cases?
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RBA Leaves Rates Unchanged; Aussie bid
With the RBA on hold, and continued risk-on, Aussie pairs could remain bid!
New Zealand Employment Data – Does it Matter?
We are over a month into the new year, and the employment data released later will be for Q4 2019.
RBA Preview: Will They Cut?
The RBA meets tomorrow and the market expects the Central Bank to leave rates unchanged.
Coronavirus, Weaker PPI hitting AUD/USD
If China’s economy is slowing down, the Australian economy may slow down as well.
Dr. Copper is Sick
If the virus continues to spread copper may continue lower
AUD/JPY may be Ready for Next Leg Lower
Markets will get their first look at how Australian consumers feel about the US-China trade deal.