Interest rates
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Slips as Traders Reconsider a BOJ Hike in December
Traders are now pricing in 50/50 odds for both a BOJ rate hike and a Fed rate cut in December, setting USD/JPY up for volatility around key economic reports.
The Fed, ECB, and More Explained: Central Bank FAQs for Forex Traders
Learn how the Fed, ECB, and BOJ impact forex markets. Get answers to FAQs on interest rates, currency trends, and trading strategies in this must-read guide.
US Dollar In Focus for the Election: Rates, Stocks Set for Volatility
The US Dollar was very strong in October as rising odds of a Trump win started to get priced-in to markets, but can equities avoid a pullback if longer-term US rates continue to fly-higher?
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USD/JPY, USD/CHF: How one massive interest rates futures trade moved FX markets
If you have a basic understanding of how the front-end rates markets work, you’ll almost certainly have better understanding of how influential it can be across a variety of asset classes. In the interest of improving that understanding, we looks at how one trade on Wednesday contributed to a sizeable US dollar rebound.
FOMC Meeting Preview: How the 25/50 Debate Means the Fed Has Already Failed
In the post-Bernanke “Fed Communication as a Policy Tool” era, this is the most uncertain that traders have ever been heading into a Fed meeting - what does that mean for markets?
What is the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium? Everything You Need to Know
The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is more than just a gathering of economic minds; it is a crucible for policy formation.
Gold Forecast: Why XAU/USD Selling Could Accelerate if $2275 Gives Way
A confirmed break below $2275 support in gold would project a “measured move” objective for the pattern down around $2100.
Will the Fed Cut Rates in July? Four Contrarian Reasons to Start Reducing Interest Rates
Why might the Fed cut rates in July? Inflation is running below the Fed’s target with timely measures of shelter inflation, jobless claims are ticking up, monetary policy is tight per the Taylor Rule, and the election is looming.
NFP Preview: Is the US Dollar Poised for a Bounce Back?
After slipping for the past three weeks, the US Dollar Index is testing key previous support at the 103.00 level, potentially setting the stage for a bounce on solid jobs data.
S&P 500, DJIA, Gold: How 40+ Years of Fed Rate Cuts Have Impacted Stock Markets and Gold
The start of a new Fed rate cut cycle doesn’t necessarily lead to the “obvious” bullish reaction in the S&P 500 and DJIA that the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra would have you believe... read on to see the actual data!
Fed Meeting Recap: FOMC Sends Doves (And Gold) Flying
It appears clear that the next change to interest rates will be a rate cut, and the question now is when exactly the Fed’s easing cycle will begin.
2024 Market Outlook: US Dollar in Focus as Central Banks Pivot
Why the US dollar could benefit from fewer rate cuts than expected following a relatively quiet 2023...
US Dollar Analysis: USD/JPY Dips Ahead of BOJ, Fed
USD/JPY is showing signs of rolling over, but remains in a longer-term uptrend ahead of the BOJ and Fed
US Dollar, FX Majors, Rates and SPX into Q4
FX volatility woke up in a big way in Q3 and with the US Dollar holding a strong bullish trend the door is open for more in Q4.
US Dollar Analysis: Fed's Hawkish Hike Boosts Buck
The US dollar rises as the Fed still expects another rate hike and only two rate cuts next year
Japanese Yen Analysis: Will USD/JPY Break its Short-Term Range?
USD/JPY is holding steady near its highest levels of the year, with traders watching the well-defined short-term range from 145.00-146.60...
Gold Price Analysis: Gold to See 6th Down Day as Real Yields Hit 14-Year Highs?
Gold is threatening to close lower for its 6th straight day, with potential to extend its drop toward $1865 before finding support...
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British Pound Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls Boosted by Bets on BOE Bazooka
GBP/USD is approaching near-term resistance around 1.2800 ahead of tomorrow’s retail sales report...
Fed Meeting Instant Analysis: USD/JPY Slips as Fed Flips Fully Data Dependent
USD/JPY edges lower after Fed Chair Powell emphasizes patience...
US Dollar Analysis: GBP/USD Has a Look Below 1.2850 Support Ahead of the Fed
GBP/USD is trading at a two-week low under previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.2850, potentially opening the door for a deeper retracement if the Fed is hawkish
S&P 500 Analysis: Fed delivers a more “Hawkish Hold,” Stocks Slip
The S&P 500 is still holding this week’s breakout above key previous resistance in the 4325 area, keeping bullish hopes alive
Gold Analysis: Fed “Hawkish Hold” Likely, H2 Outlook Key
Gold is poised for a potential breakout around the Fed meeting after spending the last 4 weeks consolidating in a tight $50 range.
Canadian dollar analysis: BOC surprises with a hike, USD/CAD falls to trendline support
USD/CAD is falling to test a key trend line after the BOC surprised markets with a 25bps interest rate increase