Treasuries

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US Dollar In Focus for the Election: Rates, Stocks Set for Volatility

The US Dollar was very strong in October as rising odds of a Trump win started to get priced-in to markets, but can equities avoid a pullback if longer-term US rates continue to fly-higher?

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S&P 500 Forecast: Stocks Grind as Yields Jump into the Election, FOMC

S&P 500 futures pulled back again last week and as yields have continued their run-higher, there’s more potential for greater pullbacks ahead. Both the election and FOMC can bring impact on both fronts.

Has Panic Peaked? VIX, Treasuries, USD and the S&P 500

Was that it? Are bears finished? I look into that from a few different vantage points in this webinar.

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Has Panic Peaked VIX Treasuries USD DXY and SPX

Was that it? Are bears finished? I look into that from a few different vantage points in this webinar.

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VIX Spikes, Yen Surges, Yields Dive: Recession Fears Begin to Take Over

It’s been a busy and messy week across global macro markets. The push points behind the tumult are parsed through in this piece.

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Yield Curve Inversion: What it is, Why it Matters

What happens when one of the most important markets in the world shows distortion? Well, it might be driven by the prospect of opportunity…

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USDJPY, U.S. Rates on Watch as We Begin Busy Week for U.S. Markets

Wednesday brings the first FOMC rate decision of 2024 along with the U.S. Treasury departments Quarterly Refunding Announcement. And then Friday brings NFP so the week will remain busy for FX markets, and probably Treasury markets, too.

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Markets Look to the End of the Rate Hike Cycle: Implications for Stocks, Bonds and the USD

US CPI has continued to fall, and markets are now pricing out any additional rate hikes from the Fed. The big question now is what may happen if rate cuts begin next year and this has implications for stocks, bonds and the US Dollar.

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Rates on Watch as Stocks, USD Pull Back Ahead of the Fed

There’s scant expectation of any actual rate moves today, but the details can be significant as several markets have remained on edge, ranging from US Treasuries to the US Dollar and the S&P 500.

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Nasdaq Nears Support, SPX Threatens Break After Treasury Yields Spike

It’s been a pain trade in stocks since August and with questions around FOMC policy, markets have remained on edge. But will rate cuts be as stimulative to stock prices as market participants seem to be hoping?

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USD/JPY, USD/CNH: a chart every rate sensitive asset should be watching right now

Near-term moves in US bonds will have big implications for USD against the JPY and CNH.

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August 30, 2023 12:44 AM
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USD/JPY: Upside limited in absence of renewed US bond bloodbath

For all the talk about a reacceleration in US inflation and deluge of debt issuance, key US bond yields have yet to break higher.

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August 21, 2023 01:05 AM
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Gold attracts buyers below $1900 ahead of Fed minutes

It’s been a terrible run for gold recently, but are short-term US bond markets signalling brighter times ahead?

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August 15, 2023 07:33 PM
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Asian Open: Risk-off with a twist sends Wall Street lower

Wall street was lower overnight as rising bonds yields continued to spook equity investors yet act as a tailwind for commodities and related forex markets.

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February 22, 2021 12:26 PM

Is Sentiment About To Crack?

With US treasury yields starting to turn lower, just as the S&P500 hesitate at critical highs, we take a look at the bigger picture to see if sentiment could be about to turn for the worst.

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