Trade War
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US Dollar: A Contrarian Perspective on How Trump’s Second Term Could Weaken the USD
How a shift in trade policy, the extension of tax cuts, the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and potential threats to Federal Reserve independence could pave the way for a weaker greenback under Trump.
Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, Gold
EUR/USD falls ahead of German inflation data, central bank speak. Gold looks to Fed Powell & Co at the ECB forum.
Housing data may start to worry investors; 30-year yields, USD/JPY
However, the Jackson Hole Symposium may be the catalyst bond traders are waiting for to determine their next move
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China shucks US corn; commodity currencies lower
China said they would limit some corn imports and cancel several US cargos
Currency Pair of the Week: AUD/USD
The first week of June brings a plethora of data which could affect the next direction of AUD/USD
UK Claimant Count Better than Expected
With the revision lower to December’s number, the combined 2-month total is only +8,100!
Nice Double Bottom on AUD/NZD!
Price broke through the most recent highs, forming a double bottom price formation.
Week Ahead: Have We Seen the Top in Coronavirus Cases?
Has the rate of increase topped on newly discovered Coronavirus cases?
RBA Leaves Rates Unchanged; Aussie bid
With the RBA on hold, and continued risk-on, Aussie pairs could remain bid!
New Zealand Employment Data – Does it Matter?
We are over a month into the new year, and the employment data released later will be for Q4 2019.
RBA Preview: Will They Cut?
The RBA meets tomorrow and the market expects the Central Bank to leave rates unchanged.
Coronavirus, Weaker PPI hitting AUD/USD
If China’s economy is slowing down, the Australian economy may slow down as well.
Dr. Copper is Sick
If the virus continues to spread copper may continue lower
AUD/JPY may be Ready for Next Leg Lower
Markets will get their first look at how Australian consumers feel about the US-China trade deal.
Aussie and Kiwi Post Shooting Stars Ahead of Key Chinese Data
Shooting Star candlestick formations are indicative of a reversal
USD/JPY higher as Philly Fed and Retail Sales Data is Stronger
With the markets in risk on mode, USD/JPY is higher as well.
US-China Trade Deal FINALLY Here!!!
After today, markets will try and figure out “What’s next?”.
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USD/CNH: Waving the All-Clear Flag?
USD/CNH remains in a textbook downtrend, with a clear string of lower lows and lower highs...
Australian Retail Sales a Strong Beat
Although the data was for November, it does not underscore the strength of the data point.
December US Nonfarm Payroll Data a Non-Event
The focus for today will most likely continue to be geo-political events.
Why US Economic Data for December may not Matter
Will the December data matter to the markets when it is released?
US-China trade more important for markets than US-Iran conflict
This is simply because China is the world’s second largest economy and a massive market for European and US exports.
Trump Announces 'Phase One' Trade Deal To Be Signed Mid-Jan
With phase one close to being signed, markets can now obsess over phase two.