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US Dollar In Focus for the Election: Rates, Stocks Set for Volatility

The US Dollar was very strong in October as rising odds of a Trump win started to get priced-in to markets, but can equities avoid a pullback if longer-term US rates continue to fly-higher?

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S&P 500 Forecast: Stocks Grind as Yields Jump into the Election, FOMC

S&P 500 futures pulled back again last week and as yields have continued their run-higher, there’s more potential for greater pullbacks ahead. Both the election and FOMC can bring impact on both fronts.

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Dow Jones forecast: Stocks struggle amid election uncertainty, mixed data and oil selling

As we head deeper into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment and thus impact the Dow.

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Dow forecast: Key data, earnings and US election all coming up

As we head into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment and thus impact the Dow forecast.

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S&P 500 Outlook: Positive Earnings Drive Optimism but Election Risks Loom

The S&P 500 has shown resilience, with US stocks rebounding on the back of strong earnings reports today. Positive surprises from major companies, such as Tesla, and strong performances in Europe are helping to stabilise sentiment.

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Nasdaq 100 outlook dims on soft data ahead of Apple and Amazon earnings

Following the big tech-fuelled rally on Wall Street, the major US indices fell back, with the Nasdaq 100 being down about 2.5% at the time of writing. We had a number of weaker-than-expected US economic reports, in particular the ISM services PMI, while mixed technology earnings results and a more hawkish Federal Reserve and Bank of England policy decisions (and not forgetting the Bank of Japan), all weighed on risk appetite.

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S&P 500, Nasdaq: Large Rallies as Fed Signals Cuts on the Way

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures have shown their strongest single-day rallies since November of 2022, a stark contrast to the panic that had begun to show last week with larger fears around A.I. stocks.

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: FOMC, META, AAPL and AMZN in focus

Today's gains were largely driven Nvidia’s 11% surge, as beaten-down chipmakers rallied. Meanwhile, softer economic data further boosted bets that the Fed will signal a rate cut in September, with the potential for two more cuts being priced in before the year is out. The Nasdaq 100 forecast remains bullish from a technical point of view with the index holding above a key bullish trend line.

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July 31, 2024 12:26 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: A Path to Recovery After Tech Wreck

While the tech sector's struggles have dominated headlines, it's crucial to note that the broader stock market's performance is not solely dependent on the "magnificent 7" group of tech stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached its fourth consecutive record high on Wednesday, driven by sector rotation. The small-cap Russell 2000 index has also posted substantial gains lately, spurred by last week's inflation report showing consumer prices falling to 3.0% year-over-year in June.

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July 18, 2024 07:35 AM
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S&P 500 forecast: Tech stocks continue to defy gravity

Supporting stocks today was news of another weaker-than-expected inflation report. Treasury yields fell as a slowdown in producer prices measure of inflation bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year.

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June 13, 2024 10:00 AM
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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Forecast for the Week Ahead

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have shown symptoms of stall while holding near fresh ATHs, but bulls have been undeterred by continued strength in US economic data as expectations remain for the Fed to begin cutting this year. But – what will the Fed say in their updated projections set to be released next Wednesday?

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Will AI optimism fuel breakout in Apple?

US technology stocks extended their gains shortly after the open on Wall Street, helping the Nasdaq 100 to add to Wednesday's surge to new record highs, before pulling back slightly on profit-taking ahead of Friday’s key US jobs report.

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S&P 500 outlook: Correction risks growing - Technical Tuesday

Stocks have not responded in the usual way of cheering on weaker-than-expected data. The questions, are we finally headed for a long overdue correction now? The S&P 500 outlook is not bearish yet from a technical viewpoint, but the potential is there for that to change in the coming days.

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks drop ahead of busy week

Friday’s Core PCE data failed to reduce fears over "higher for longer" narrative on interest rates, ahead of a busy week for economic events. Risk appetite is also waning amid a lack of major fresh bullish catalysts.

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Nasdaq to Fresh Highs, S&P 500 Strength Remains as NVDA Set to Report on Wed.

The Nasdaq has led the way higher with another fresh ATH today, and NVDA earnings on Wednesday can provide a major push point to equity themes.

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S&P 500 analysis: Apple earnings and NFP in focus after Fed’s mixed signals

S&P 500 analysis: Investors interpret Fed as slightly less hawkish than expected, but macro concerns remain. Attention turns to Apple, expected yo report a 10% decline in iPhone sales, before Friday's release of NFP and ISM services PMI.

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DAX outlook remains unfavourable despite support from earnings

Earnings have helped to lift the mood so far in today's session, but risk appetite could be limited amid ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty over interest rates outlook. DAX technical analysis shows the German index is still residing in a bearish channel, despite the bounce.

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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Forecast for the Week Ahead

After a five-month rally U.S. stocks pulled back to start Q2 trade but the question remains as to whether this was a pullback from overbought conditions or whether we’re seeing the start of a fresh trend.

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March 7, 2024 12:03 AM
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Reddit IPO: Everything you need to know about Reddit

Find out everything we know about the Reddit IPO including the date, valuation and how to trade Reddit stock.

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February 27, 2024 12:50 PM
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Nasdaq Rallies, USD Pulls Back After 'Flipped Out' Comment

Inflation remains high in the U.S. economy, but equity bulls seem undeterred, helped along by a continued dovish stance from Fed officials despite fears of inflation entrenchment.

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Nasdaq 100 analysis: US futures rebound but will stocks take a breather after big rally?

Investors consider key risks facing stocks, with Core PCE inflation coming up, ahead of FOMC and NFP next week. European stocks surge on LVMH earnings beat. Meanwhile, Nasdaq 100 technical analysis shows some warnings signs for bulls.

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January 26, 2024 07:30 AM
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Fanatics IPO: Everything You Need to Know About Fanatics

Fanatics is reportedly projecting about $8 billion in revenue in 2023, excluding trading card rights, ahead of a potential IPO.

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January 21, 2024 05:54 PM