monetary policy
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What is the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium? Everything You Need to Know
The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is more than just a gathering of economic minds; it is a crucible for policy formation.
FOMC Meeting Preview: The Fed Won’t Cut…but it Should
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing the critical 104.50 level – today’s close will be key.
S&P 500, DJIA, Gold: How 40+ Years of Fed Rate Cuts Have Impacted Stock Markets and Gold
The start of a new Fed rate cut cycle doesn’t necessarily lead to the “obvious” bullish reaction in the S&P 500 and DJIA that the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra would have you believe... read on to see the actual data!
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FOMC Meeting Recap: Fed Chair Powell Deems March Rate Cut "Unlikely," Boosting Buck Toward YTD Highs
Powell pushes back against market pricing for a March rate hike - what's next for the Fed?
GBP/USD 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview
So will GBP/USD outperform again, or is the outlook for 2024 more downbeat?
EUR/USD 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview
Stronger US growth and similar inflation on both sides of the Atlantic could lead to more aggressive interest rate cuts from the ECB, boosting EUR/USD.
Central Bank 2024 Outlook Preview
Major central banks may switch gears in 2024 amid the weakening outlook for global growth accompanied by signs of slowing inflation.
Gold Analysis: Will US CPI Crush Hopes of a November Fed Hike?
A soft inflation report this week may put the proverbial “nail in the coffin” for any immediate interest rate changes...
British Pound Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls Boosted by Bets on BOE Bazooka
GBP/USD is approaching near-term resistance around 1.2800 ahead of tomorrow’s retail sales report...
Fed Meeting Instant Analysis: USD/JPY Slips as Fed Flips Fully Data Dependent
USD/JPY edges lower after Fed Chair Powell emphasizes patience...
GBP/USD rallies to the mid-1.21s, despite big bets on a 6% Fed rate
One trader amassed a large position in options that would make $135 million if the central bank keeps tightening until September!
Implied volatility spikes, BOJ gets active ahead of FOMC
Rising yields ahead of the FOMC meeting has seen the BOJ announce bond purchases, and implied volatility has risen notably for the next 24-hours.
The SNB could surprise (again) with a larger than expected hike
The SNB (Swiss National Bank) are expected to hike interest rates tomorrow, which would send their rate above zero for the first time since 2011.
Central banks current monetary policy - Where to next?
Major central banks around the world, except for the BOJ, are in tightening mode on the back of increasing inflation.
Fixed vs floating exchange rates – what’s the difference?
A fixed exchange rate describes when a currency’s value is pegged to a stronger, more influential currency. By contrast, a floating exchange rate allows a currency value to fluctuate with supply and demand. Both systems have pros and cons depending on a country’s economy.
Forecasting 2022 inflation: Transitory no more?
The ongoing global inflationary pressure stems from two primary causes: Economic stimulus and supply chain disruptions - how will they evolve in 2022?
Three key questions every trader should be asking about inflation…and how to trade it
Both the current supply chain disruptions and the highly-accommodative economic policies are poised to ease, though perhaps not until closer to the middle of 2022...
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ECB recap: Lagarde drives EUR/USD to new October highs
Ms. Lagarde's strongest statement was around the PEPP purchases ending in March, making the statement more hawkish than anticipated
ECB Preview: Lagarde to be dovish as she drives home strategic review
“The formulation removes any possible ambiguity and resolutely conveys that 2% is not a ceiling”
What is a repo? Repurchasing agreements explained
The repo market has gathered significant attention recently after the Fed’s purchases hit a record of half a trillion dollars. But is a repo? And why does central bank action impact the market so much? Find out below.
FOMC Preview: More wait and see
Expectations are for the FOMC to continue to sing their same tune.
If Rates Have Peaked Then The Dollar Likely Has Too
Post-Fed, the Doves are on parade, treasury yields have fallen and bets for a cut in 2019 have increased. Certainly not a bad day in the office if you’re bearish USD.
FOMC Minutes: Two Key Takeaways that Will Shape Monetary Policy Moving Forward
Despite a powerful winter storm forcing the Federal Reserve’s Washington DC offices to close, the central bank was still able to release the minutes from its late January meeting.