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Crude Oil, GBPJPY Forecast: Ceasefire Potential, Trump Tariffs, and Inflation Rates

Crude Oil, GBPJPY Forecast: The lingering effects of Trump-era policies continue to shape broader market trends. Expectations of war resolutions are pressuring oil prices into a neutral stance, while tariff policies are fueling volatility across the US dollar rally.

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Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

Yen weakness has hung around and USD/JPY and GBP/JPY both retain bullish appeal. But for those looking for Yen-strength, perhaps in anticipation of next month’s policy review from the BoJ, EUR/JPY could hold greater attraction.

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British Pound Technical Forecast: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY

It was a brutal week for the British Pound, with fresh four-month lows in Cable as GBP/JPY put in a late-week breakdown.

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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

USD/JPY has continued to rally up to fresh three-month-highs, but EUR/JPY has started to build bearish structure. Meanwhile a bull pennant has formed in GBP/JPY.

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November 14, 2024 03:03 PM
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EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY: Key levels with risks skewing to the downside

EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY on sitting on shaky ground. Momentum’s fading, and risks are skewing to the downside as we enter a quieter macro week.

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November 7, 2024 11:43 PM
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USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY: Japanese Yen Technical Analysis

Yen-weakness has remained through Japanese general elections and both EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY have put in clean breakout moves from ascending triangle formations.

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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY

It’s been tough sledding for Cable so far in Q4, but bulls have started to show defense of a major psychological level. Meanwhile, GBP/JPY is holding on to a bullish breakout setup as we go into next week.

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EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Technical Forecast: Yen Crosses Look Poised for Bullish Breakouts

EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY traders have already priced in the current projected path of interest rates from the ECB, BOE, and BOJ, so the main market driver moving forward will be how those expectations evolve.

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GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY: Carry trades flock to FX outperformers as hard landing risks recede

With market concerns surrounding a hard economic landing in the US diminishing, it has allowed Japanese yen carry trades to be reestablished, seeing capital flow towards parts of the world that are currently outperforming. The UK is one place that fits that bill, seeing GBP/JPY take out an important resistance level on the charts. Its breakout may act as a lead indicator for AUD/JPY.

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September 2, 2024 08:23 PM
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Japanese Yen Forecast: The EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY Moves that Could Kick the Carry Trade Unwind into Overdrive

The massive “yen carry trade” unwind was technically- and sentiment-driven, and could absolutely run further after pausing for a few weeks. EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are in play.

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USD/JPY Breaks, is the Carry Trade Finished? EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY

JPY strength has been fast and heavy: Is this but a pullback in the bigger-picture carry trade or is carry unwind in the process of taking over?

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British Pound Technical Forecast: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP

The British Pound started the week with strength, testing above the 1.3000 handle against the US Dollar for the first time since last July. But the pair was unable to overcome an overbought RSI reading on the daily and posed a stark reversal in the latter-portion of the week. Can it continue? Or will GBP bulls grasp on to support to continue the prior trend?

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GBP/USD, GBP/JPY: UK CPI in focus after soft prints from NZ, CA

The UK's 1-month OIS suggests ~48% chance of a 25bp cut from the BOE next month, which means today's inflation report is likely a key driver for GBP/USD on monetary policy expectations.

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July 16, 2024 11:34 PM
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Japanese Yen Technical Forecasts: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY

It was a strong week for the Yen which was a change-of-pace, as pullbacks in USD/JPY and AUD/JPY were driven by a suspected intervention. The big question now is whether the response to intervention remains the same as we saw in May where it reset the tables for the carry trade to continue to drive.

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Japanese Yen Weakness Continues: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY

The Japanese Yen continues to fall even after last week’s threats of intervention. USD/JPY is trading at a fresh 37-year high as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and AUD/JPY have all shown considerable strength.

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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Rips Through 160.00 - What's Next?

USD/JPY is trading at a fresh 37-year high and today’s breakout happened right at Masato Kanda was threatening to intervene. The big question now is whether the Ministry of Finance still wants to defend the Yen or whether they’ll wait until another big figure trades.

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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY

Yen-weakness remains in play and USD/JPY is already trading in some rarified air. But it’s AUD/JPY that’s taken the attention after the breakout to fresh 16-year highs.

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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY

The Bank of Japan hosts a rate decision tonight and the big question is whether they lay the groundwork for another rate hike in July, along with whether they announce a reduction in bond purchases. EUR/JPY is set up for Yen bulls, while GBP/JPY and AUD/JPY could be more attractive backdrops for Yen bears.

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Japanese yen carry trades receive boost from Fed, US CPI: GBP/JPY, NZD/JPY setups

Soft US inflation and stability in the Fed interest rate outlook point to an ideal environment for renewed upside in Japanese yen FX crosses, assuming prevailing conditions don't shift meaningfully. GBP/JPY and NZD/JPY are two pairs on the radar.

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June 13, 2024 12:18 AM
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British Pound Technical Forecast: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP

It was another strong week for the British Pound as Core CPI came out well-above the expectation, leading to a 1.2750 test in GBP/USD and a 200.00 test in GBP/JPY.

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Japanese Yen Technical Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

The Japanese Yen has continued to show weakness against the USD, Euro and British Pound, and both EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are working at or near major psychological levels.

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Japanese Yen Technical Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY

USD/JPY printed a doji for the week but elsewhere, Yen weakness remained a driving factor. EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and AUD/JPY are all nearing key points of longer-term resistance.

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AUD/USD rises into RBA, GBP/JPY, gold look set to bounce: Asian Open

Both gold and GBP/JPY are showing signs of stability around key support levels to suggest they could extend their bounce. But with AUD/USD rising for four days on anticipation of a hawkish RBA, whether AUD/USD can extend its rally beyond resistance is up for question.