French elections
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Gold forecast: XAUUSD defends support ahead of key data and elections
Gold and silver have been on the rise in the last couple of days, recovering from weakness earlier in the week. Once again, gold has risen alongside equity markets, suggesting the recovery is not entirely driven by haven flows amid uncertainty surrounding the upcoming French snap elections, which appears to have only impacted the local stock and bond, as well as regional, markets.
UK, French Elections, US Employment and PMIs: The Week Ahead
It's possible we'll know who won the first round of France's election by the time markets open in Asia next week, which means the euro and European index futures could be more active than usual. Traders should then look to the pound and FTSE for pre-election jitters, although once again it could be Asian markets that get to witness the results. Despite the public holiday on Thursday, the US economic calendar is also packed. Two key ISM reports for manufacturing and services land before July 4th, alongside JOLTS and ADP employment reports, which are the warm-up acts for NFP on Friday.
Euro Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Ranges into Core PCE, Euro Elections
EUR/USD has been range-bound for almost 18 full months now, and range support is in view ahead of tomorrow’s release of U.S. inflation data.
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EUR/USD Forecast: Euro Under Pressure as French Election Looms
The euro was under pressure in the first half of Wednesday’s session, ahead of the French snap election and due to growing signs of weakness in Germany’s economy. This political uncertainty has bolstered the US dollar, especially against currencies where the central bank is more dovish or where interest rates are significantly lower than the US – for example the Japanese yen.
French election nerves reflected in the market
The first round of the French Presidential elections will be held on Sunday 11th April. The market has woken up to the possibility of a Le Pen win.
EUR/GBP languishes near key support after risk shifts from UK to EU
Sterling fell across the board early on Monday due in part to key manufacturing data from the UK that fell short of expectations. The UK’s manufacturing PMI for March came in at 54.2, which still represents an expansion, but fell below expectations for 55.1 and slightly below the previous month’s result.
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