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DAX, EUR/USD outlook: Lagarde likely to opt for "higher for longer" narrative

The EUR/USD outlook hinges on the two major central bank decisions in as many days. First up, the Fed must decide whether to signal a pause for September after a likely 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday, a signal that could have a major impact on the direction of the dollar. Once we know that, then all eyes will be on the ECB on Thursday. The latter could revert back to data-dependency, something which the markets have been pricing in with the EUR/USD falling over the past week and a half.

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July 25, 2023 07:30 AM
Bank notes of different currencies

EUR/USD outlook: ECB could deliver hawkish surprise - preview

The EUR/USD outlook is clearly going to change this week with both the Fed and ECB rate decisions to come ahead of US non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The stickiness of Eurozone inflation means there is a greater risk for a hawkish surprise.

ECB interest rate rise: Supersize or jumbo?

ECB preview: The big question this month is not if the ECB will hike but whether it be by 50 or 75 basis points?

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September 6, 2022 06:25 AM

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EUR/CHF set for breakout as focus turns to ECB

It is all about whether the ECB will follow other central banks in signalling a 50-basis point hike, or a more standard 25 for July.

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