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Canadian Dollar Post-BOC Rate Cut: USD/CAD Pushes Tepid Initial Breakout

The 50 bp cut from the Bank of Canada was well priced-in ahead of this morning’s announcement, and several longer-term resistance levels sit overhead around 1.3900, 1.3950 and 1.4000.

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October 23, 2024 10:57 AM
Research

JPY, EUR, CAD, AUD, Crude Oil Analysis: COT report

Large speculators flipped to net-short exposure to EUR/USD ahead of the French election. Open interest on CAD futures fell at its fastest pace in nearly one year as the sentiment extreme we warned of plays out. Net-long exposure to AUD/USD futures fell to a 3-year low, and prospects of net-long exposure are now on the horizon with the potential for an RBA hike.

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USD/JPY, USD/CAD implied volatility perks up, BOC and ISM up next

Today's BOC rate decision and an ISM report for the US places USD/CAD on volatility alert, alongside USD/JPY.

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June 5, 2024 01:25 AM

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Forex trading

USD, CAD, Gold, Copper, VIX, Wall Street analysis: COT report

Asset managers reached a record level of net-short exposure to VIX futures, days before prices fell to a record low. Traders also remain net-long USD despite losses in recent weeks.

Oil extraction

Oil Drives as CAD Slides, USD/CAD Tests 1.3500 as WTI Rallies Past $80

WTI crude oil has broken out of both a bull flag and an ascending triangle formation, but as oil strengthens the Canadian Dollar has been falling.

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March 14, 2024 02:31 PM

Canadian Dollar Technical Analysis: USD/CAD Sinks After Failed Breakout

USD/CAD set a fresh yearly high on the first day of November, and the picture is quite a bit different today as that breakout has, so far, failed.

Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Breakout Sets Up for Pullback

USD/CAD has been one of the stronger major pairs during the recent theme of US Dollar strength and after setting another fresh two-month-high this morning, the pair appears to be setting the stage for a pullback. Bulls have fiercely defended 1.3500 since the break – can they continue to hold the big figure?

Downwards trend with red arrow

Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Breakout Barges Through 1.3500

The US Dollar has been in a strong bullish move over the past month but that’s been expressed well in USD/CAD, where USD strength has been matched with CAD weakness. USD/CAD tested a fresh two-month-high this morning while testing above a key psychological level at 1.3500. Can bulls hold the trend with higher low support at prior resistance?

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Canadian Dollar Technical Analysis: USD/CAD, EUR/CAD, CAD/JPY

USD/CAD extended a bullish breakout this week while starting re-test of the 1.3500 psychological level. Bulls held the move despite US CPI coming in below expectations and CAD/JPY retains breakout potential given an ascending triangle formation. EUR/CAD on the other hand may offer some pullback potential given a hold at a key Fibonacci level of resistance.

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: CAD Breakdown Pulls Back, US CPI in Focus

USD/CAD spent more than a month building longer-term support above the 1.3100 handle and started August with a strong topside breakout that’s finally started to pullback. Tomorrow’s US CPI print looms large as this is the next major macro driver for the USD. Will USD/CAD bulls be able to continue the trend?

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August 9, 2023 02:40 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold Prices Bounce from 1900 as USD/CAD Shows Signs of Reversal

USD/CAD broke out of a falling wedge formation earlier in the week, and spot Gold is working on a morning star formation which could open the door to a deeper pullback move if bulls can hold the line.

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June 30, 2023 03:10 PM

Canadian Dollar Price Analysis: USD/CAD Breaks Out from Falling Wedge

USD/CAD is bouncing from range support while breaking out of a shorter-term falling wedge pattern. Can bulls hold higher-low support to continue the move?

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April 19, 2023 02:16 PM
Research

Canadian dollar analysis: USD/CAD knocking on key 1.3605 support

USD/CAD is forming a potential descending triangle pattern into 1.3650 support ahead of key data tomorrow.

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March 23, 2023 03:33 PM
Research

US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37

In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...

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March 13, 2023 10:54 AM

USD/CAD: Ascending Triangle, Fibonacci Resistance

USD/CAD is showing bullish breakout potential ahead of a busy economic calendar with the Bank of Canada on the calendar for tomorrow.

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March 7, 2023 09:43 AM
Research

Will USD/CAD break key resistance at 1.35 after soft Canadian CPI?

The just-released Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Canada rose 5.9% year-over-year in January...what does that mean for USD/CAD?

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February 21, 2023 09:21 AM
Research

BOC Governor Macklem sticks to the script, USD/CAD consolidates

The bank's latest forecast shows the annual rate of inflation slowing to around 3% by the middle of 2023, and reaching 2.5% by the fourth quarter.

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February 7, 2023 03:00 PM

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Research

Market pricing and economists favour a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow

Market pricing and the consensus among economists firmly points towards a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow.

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January 23, 2023 07:11 PM
Bank notes of different currencies

What is a fiat currency? Everything you need to know about the classic monetary asset

A fiat currency is any monetary instrument backed by a national government. Learn how fiat currencies operate and how they compare to other types of money.

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October 26, 2022 10:52 AM

USD/CAD: A tale of two labor markets

Traders are still digesting last week’s US jobs report, but one thing is clear: The US labor market is outperforming Canada’s...

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August 9, 2022 03:57 PM
Downward trend

Technical view: CAD/JPY’s rally is lagging…are we seeing a reversal?

Fundamental trends show no imminent signs of reversing, but CAD/JPY’s chart nonetheless suggests that there may be an opportunity for one or both of these currencies to reverse some of this year’s moves.

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July 28, 2022 09:36 AM

Don’t sleep on USD/CAD’s consolidation at 1.25! The key levels to watch this week

Friday’s Canadian jobs report will be worth watching - see why!

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April 4, 2022 03:00 PM
Gold Sand

Two trades to watch: USD/CAD, Gold

USDCAD battles hawkish Fed & higher oil prices. Gold could come under pressure as Fed Powell talks hikes.

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March 22, 2022 04:18 AM