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Canadian Dollar Post-BOC Rate Cut: USD/CAD Pushes Tepid Initial Breakout
The 50 bp cut from the Bank of Canada was well priced-in ahead of this morning’s announcement, and several longer-term resistance levels sit overhead around 1.3900, 1.3950 and 1.4000.
JPY, EUR, CAD, AUD, Crude Oil Analysis: COT report
Large speculators flipped to net-short exposure to EUR/USD ahead of the French election. Open interest on CAD futures fell at its fastest pace in nearly one year as the sentiment extreme we warned of plays out. Net-long exposure to AUD/USD futures fell to a 3-year low, and prospects of net-long exposure are now on the horizon with the potential for an RBA hike.
USD/JPY, USD/CAD implied volatility perks up, BOC and ISM up next
Today's BOC rate decision and an ISM report for the US places USD/CAD on volatility alert, alongside USD/JPY.
USD, CAD, Gold, Copper, VIX, Wall Street analysis: COT report
Asset managers reached a record level of net-short exposure to VIX futures, days before prices fell to a record low. Traders also remain net-long USD despite losses in recent weeks.
Oil Drives as CAD Slides, USD/CAD Tests 1.3500 as WTI Rallies Past $80
WTI crude oil has broken out of both a bull flag and an ascending triangle formation, but as oil strengthens the Canadian Dollar has been falling.
Canadian Dollar Technical Analysis: USD/CAD Sinks After Failed Breakout
USD/CAD set a fresh yearly high on the first day of November, and the picture is quite a bit different today as that breakout has, so far, failed.
Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Breakout Sets Up for Pullback
USD/CAD has been one of the stronger major pairs during the recent theme of US Dollar strength and after setting another fresh two-month-high this morning, the pair appears to be setting the stage for a pullback. Bulls have fiercely defended 1.3500 since the break – can they continue to hold the big figure?
Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Breakout Barges Through 1.3500
The US Dollar has been in a strong bullish move over the past month but that’s been expressed well in USD/CAD, where USD strength has been matched with CAD weakness. USD/CAD tested a fresh two-month-high this morning while testing above a key psychological level at 1.3500. Can bulls hold the trend with higher low support at prior resistance?
Canadian Dollar Technical Analysis: USD/CAD, EUR/CAD, CAD/JPY
USD/CAD extended a bullish breakout this week while starting re-test of the 1.3500 psychological level. Bulls held the move despite US CPI coming in below expectations and CAD/JPY retains breakout potential given an ascending triangle formation. EUR/CAD on the other hand may offer some pullback potential given a hold at a key Fibonacci level of resistance.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis: CAD Breakdown Pulls Back, US CPI in Focus
USD/CAD spent more than a month building longer-term support above the 1.3100 handle and started August with a strong topside breakout that’s finally started to pullback. Tomorrow’s US CPI print looms large as this is the next major macro driver for the USD. Will USD/CAD bulls be able to continue the trend?
Gold Prices Bounce from 1900 as USD/CAD Shows Signs of Reversal
USD/CAD broke out of a falling wedge formation earlier in the week, and spot Gold is working on a morning star formation which could open the door to a deeper pullback move if bulls can hold the line.
Canadian Dollar Price Analysis: USD/CAD Breaks Out from Falling Wedge
USD/CAD is bouncing from range support while breaking out of a shorter-term falling wedge pattern. Can bulls hold higher-low support to continue the move?
Canadian dollar analysis: USD/CAD knocking on key 1.3605 support
USD/CAD is forming a potential descending triangle pattern into 1.3650 support ahead of key data tomorrow.
US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37
In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...
USD/CAD: Ascending Triangle, Fibonacci Resistance
USD/CAD is showing bullish breakout potential ahead of a busy economic calendar with the Bank of Canada on the calendar for tomorrow.
Will USD/CAD break key resistance at 1.35 after soft Canadian CPI?
The just-released Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Canada rose 5.9% year-over-year in January...what does that mean for USD/CAD?
BOC Governor Macklem sticks to the script, USD/CAD consolidates
The bank's latest forecast shows the annual rate of inflation slowing to around 3% by the middle of 2023, and reaching 2.5% by the fourth quarter.
Market pricing and economists favour a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow
Market pricing and the consensus among economists firmly points towards a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow.
What is a fiat currency? Everything you need to know about the classic monetary asset
A fiat currency is any monetary instrument backed by a national government. Learn how fiat currencies operate and how they compare to other types of money.
USD/CAD: A tale of two labor markets
Traders are still digesting last week’s US jobs report, but one thing is clear: The US labor market is outperforming Canada’s...
Technical view: CAD/JPY’s rally is lagging…are we seeing a reversal?
Fundamental trends show no imminent signs of reversing, but CAD/JPY’s chart nonetheless suggests that there may be an opportunity for one or both of these currencies to reverse some of this year’s moves.
Don’t sleep on USD/CAD’s consolidation at 1.25! The key levels to watch this week
Friday’s Canadian jobs report will be worth watching - see why!
Two trades to watch: USD/CAD, Gold
USDCAD battles hawkish Fed & higher oil prices. Gold could come under pressure as Fed Powell talks hikes.