Bond Yields
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US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities
Momentum turned higher for the US dollar on Friday and the US 2-year is reconsidering a break above 2%, which could see them close the gap with the CRM commodities index - which have led both markets higher this year.
USD forecast: Positioning hints at headwinds for USD, 2-year yield
Short bets against the US 2-year yield continue to diminish yet remain at a sentiment extreme. And as the yield flatlined above 5% in 2023 despite aggressive short positioning, it suggests its yield may struggle to retake 5% this time around. And that could prove to be a headwind for the USD.
AUD/USD, S&P 500, VIX analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT)
The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.
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Stocks off lows after dollar, yields collapsed
When bond markets move, investors in other markets always take notice
The US 10-Year Yield and USD/JPY correlation is back!
US 10-Year Yields and USD/JPY currently have a strong correlation coefficient of +0.93.
Gold eyes fresh breakdown as China fears add fuel to fire
It was always going to be an uphill struggle for the metal...
Gold eyes fresh breakdown as China fears add fuel to fire
It was always going to be an uphill struggle for the metal...
GBP spikes on reports the BOE may extend bond purchases
The BOE have now done two U-turns within 24hrs, by first cancelling their bond buying programme but then signalling behind closed door they may extend it.
US bond yields (and USD/JPY) appear close to a big break
The 2 and 10-year bond yields are within a cat’s whisker of hitting multi-year highs, which could signal the next leg higher for the dollar if they break them.
US bond yields (and USD/JPY) appear close to a big break
The 2 and 10-year bond yields are within a cat’s whisker of hitting multi-year highs, which could signal the next leg higher for the dollar if they break them.
GBP/USD in focus bond as yields jump despite BoE’s new plan
BoE announced new measures aimed at ensuring an 'orderly end' to its emergency bond buying scheme which ends on Friday.
GBP/USD in focus bond as yields jump despite BoE’s new plan
BoE announced new measures aimed at ensuring an 'orderly end' to its emergency bond buying scheme which ends on Friday.
Gold shines as yields plunge on BoE intervention
BoE will temporarily carry out purchases of long-dated UK government bonds at an “urgent pace,” and on “whatever scale” necessary to restore orderly market conditions.
Nothing changes for gold, stocks as yields resume higher
Bearish trend persist for indices and metals as investors watch yields continue to rise following a flurry of central bank action this week.
Gold attempts breakout as yields dip
Investors appear convinced the Fed will slow down rate hikes despite officials indicating otherwise.
Bond markets signal end of aggressive tightening near
Gold and silver stand ready for a potential comeback…
All eyes on bond yields ahead of FOMC
In the eyes of bond markets, the front-loading of interest rate hikes will potentially lead to a recession.
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‘If’ the BOJ abandon YCC, hold onto your hats (USD/JPY)
The yen was stronger overnight as some began to speculate that the BOJ could alter (or abandon) their yield curve control target. We outline three potential scenarios.
Will the bond market meltdown be the undoing of the S&P500?
U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.
Weekly COT Report: Market Positioning Hintsat Lower Yields
Whilst net exposure to US 10-year treasury notes were at their most bearish level since the Pandemic began, CFTC data shows it is a function of longs covering.