Matt Weller CFA, CMT
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FOMC Preview: Cut Then “Prudent Pause” from Powell?
EUR/USD has carved out a narrow range between 1.0470 and 1.0600 and unless the Fed delivers a meaningful surprise of some sort, that range may carry over.
Bitcoin Consolidates Near $100K – Will We See a Christmas Rally? Cryptoasset Weekly Update (December 14, 2024)
Bitcoin saw another liquidation selloff Monday before recovering back toward record highs as we go to press. See the news and levels to watch!
BOC Recap: USD/CAD Drops as Macklem Hints at Gradual Cuts in 2025
USD/CAD fell back toward key horizontal support near 141.00 as BOC Governor Macklem hinted at a 2025 pause in the interest rate cutting cycle
US CPI Preview: Could a HOT Inflation Report Revive a Fed Pause?
The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25bps regardless of the CPI reading, though a hotter-than-expected print could certainly raise some questions for USD/CAD
Bitcoin Breaks $100K! Where Next? Cryptoasset Weekly Update (December 6, 2024)
Bitcoin broke $100K…only to fall a quick -14% to below $90K in a mini “flash crash” before recovering back above $100K. What are the levels to watch now?
NFP Preview: Could a Strong Jobs Report Put a December Fed Pause in Play?
The Fed is likely, but not certain, to cut interest rates by 25bps later this month, and a strong NFP report could reopen the door for close decision.
US Dollar: A Contrarian Perspective on How Trump’s Second Term Could Weaken the USD
How a shift in trade policy, the extension of tax cuts, the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and potential threats to Federal Reserve independence could pave the way for a weaker greenback under Trump.
S&P 500 Melt-Up? The Data-Driven Case for SPX Upside in December
What are the odds of a Deecember melt up in the S&P 500?
Forex Seasonality – December 2024: Can EUR/USD and AUD/USD Rally?
EUR/USD and AUD/USD are heading into their strongest month, hinting at rally potential after November drops.
Euro Parity: What Will it Take to Drive the EUR/USD to 1.00?
While parity is just a number in theory, it often carries significant psychological and economic weight - see what it might take to drive to EUR/USD to 1.00!
WTI Forecast: Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Drives Crude Oil Back Toward $69
How could a potential Israel-Lebanon ceasefire impact oil prices and what are the key levels to watch?