David Scutt

David Scutt 125

David Scutt

Market Analyst

Expertise: Macroeconomics/fundamentals, strategy, market education

Trading Style: Swing

Experience:

• Former FX spot, forwards and money markets securities dealer/trader with more than 10 years’ experience working in bank treasury

• Managing interest rate and liquidity risk

• Regularly featured in publications such as Reuters, Wall Street Journal and Australian Financial Review

• Ex markets and economics editor for Business Insider, covering macroeconomic and major market events in Asia


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AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD: Commodity Currencies Hitch a Ride on China’s Yield Curve Rollercoaster

Commodity currencies are dancing to the tune of Chinese bond yields, with AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD locked in striking correlations. The Fed’s dot plot may stir the pot later today, but China’s yield curve rollercoaster isn’t slowing down anytime soon.

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NZD/USD: Rebound Hopes Rise but Fed Rate Path Remains Key

NZD/USD has been as flightless as its namesake in 2024, but with a hawkish Fed rate cut expected and signs of life at home, could the Kiwi finally be ready to spread its wings?

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December 16, 2024 06:39 PM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Yen Slides, Equities Eye Breakout on Rising US Yields

USD/JPY breaks higher as surging US yields keep the yen under pressure. Nikkei 225 traders are taking note, pushing futures towards the top of the recent range before the Fed and BoJ rate decisions – is a bullish breakout on the menu?

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December 15, 2024 05:59 PM
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USD/JPY weekly outlook: Fed and BoJ decisions to ignite FX market volatility

Two central banks, one decisive week for USD/JPY. As the Fed and BoJ set policy hours apart, the pair’s 2025 trajectory hangs in the balance.

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AUD/USD, NZD/USD: Fed Meeting cements shift from China proxy to rates play

Temporarily shifting from China proxies, AUD/USD and NZD/USD are now dancing to the tune of rate differentials. With the Fed set to update its economic projections next week, traders are eyeing a potential hawkish twist that could amplify Antipodean anguish. Will its rate signals intensify the USD’s dominance, or offer a lifeline to the Aussie and Kiwi?

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December 12, 2024 05:49 PM
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AUD/USD: Sudden unemployment slide casts doubt on need for RBA rate cuts

Another strong Australian jobs report has cast doubt on the need for the RBA to reduce rates in early 2025, with evidence mounting that unemployment has peaked. Traders price more than three rate cuts over the next year, but any signs of returning inflationary pressures could spark upside for bond yields and AUD.

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December 11, 2024 08:45 PM

Gold, Silver, Bitcoin: Momentum builds as bulls eye breakouts

Gold is testing critical resistance, silver continues to climb after breaking its downtrend, and bitcoin consolidates before another potential surge. With technical and momentum signals aligning, could the stage be set for a decisive breakout across these assets?

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December 11, 2024 05:49 PM
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USD/CHF, EUR/CHF: A SNB Schlegel surprise set to rattle Swiss franc

With the market split on the SNB’s next move, all eyes are on Schlegel’s debut decision. Volatility is all but certain, especially with the European Central Bank’s rate cut call arriving soon after. Here’s what traders need to watch.

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December 10, 2024 10:11 PM
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USD/JPY: Testing 200DMA as traders ready for inflation fireworks

USD/JPY is testing its 200DMA, with traders eyeing today’s US inflation report as a potential catalyst. A strong core print could ignite bond yields and push the pair higher, while a softer outcome might cool the rally and invite fresh selling pressure. Tail risks look particularly acute around this important event.

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December 10, 2024 05:16 PM
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AUD/USD: Rate cut bets rise as RBA signals confidence in inflation progress

AUD/USD faces fresh pressure after the RBA's dovish shift raises rate cut bets, with traders now eyeing a potential move in February. A break below key support could see the pair test new lows as the outlook for the Aussie darkens.

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December 9, 2024 11:15 PM
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Hang Seng, China A50: Moderately loose powers fast and furious rally

China’s policy pivot is turning heads and bosting markets, with Hang Seng and A50 futures charging ahead. As bulls eye breakouts, will this stimulus spark fizzle out or ignite a rally hotter than a Sichuan hotpot?

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December 9, 2024 07:21 PM