EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, Gold, Oil Weekly Technical Outlook: 2/26/2024
Weekly Technical Trade Levels on USD Majors, Commodities & Stocks
- Technical setups we are tracking into the weekly open
- Next Weekly Strategy Webinar: Monday, March 4 at 8:30am EST
- Review the latest Weekly Strategy Webinars on my YouTube playlist.
In this webinar we take an in-depth look at the technical trade levels for the US Dollar (DXY), Euro (EUR/USD), British Pound (GBP/USD), Australian Dollar (AUD/USD), Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD), Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), Swiss Franc (USD/CHF), New Zealand Dollar (NZD/USD), Gold (XAU/USD), Crude Oil (WTI), S&P 500 (SPX500), Nasdaq (NDX), and the Dow Jones (DJI). These are the levels that matter on the technical charts heading into close of the month.
Euro Price Chart – EUR/USD Daily
Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist; EUR/USD on TradingView
Euro is trading just below resistance into the start of the week at 1.0864/97- a region defined by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the December sell-off and the objective February opening-range highs. A breach / daily close above this threshold is needed to suggest a more significant low was registered this month and would keep the focus on a stretch towards 1.0970.
Initial support rests with the objective monthly open / 200-day moving average at 1.0818/25 and is backed by the 61.8% parallel / 61.8% retracement at 1.0769- losses below this threshold would threaten resumption of the downtrend back towards key support at 1.0704/12. Stay nimble into the close of the month with the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) on Thursday likely to fuel some volatility here.
Canadian Dollar Price Chart – USD/CAD Weekly
Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist; USD/CAD on TradingView
The Canadian Dollar has been trading into a key technical confluence for the past six-weeks at 1.3438/45 – a region defined by the 50% retracement of the October decline and the objective 2023 yearly-open. The focus remains on possible price inflection off this region with a breach / weekly close above 1.3623/40 ultimately needed to suggest a larger breakout is underway here.
Weekly support / broader bullish invalidation rests with the 61.8% retracement of the December rally at 1.3333 – note that multi-year slope support rests along this threshold and further highlights its technical significance in the weeks ahead. Bottom line: losses should be limited by this threshold IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.3623 needed to fuel the next major move.
Economic Calendar – Key USD Data Releases
Economic Calendar - latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.
--- Written by Michael Boutros, Sr Technical Strategist with FOREX.com
Follow Michael on X @MBForex
The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.
Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex, commodity futures, or digital assets, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to FOREX.com or GAIN Capital refer to StoneX Group Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.
FOREX.com is a registered FCM and RFED with the CFTC and member of the National Futures Association (NFA # 0339826). Forex trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Full Disclosures and Risk Warning. Increased leverage increases risk.
GAIN Capital Group LLC (dba FOREX.com) 30 Independence Blvd, Suite 300 (3rd floor), Warren, NJ 07059, USA. GAIN Capital Group LLC is a wholly-owned subsidiary of StoneX Group Inc.
© FOREX.COM 2024