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COT report – 20 Jan 2025
The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: The Aussie snaps a 6-week losing streak
The correlations between AUD/USD, the yuan and USD remain in play. But with the latter two stalling at important resistance levels, perhaps AUD/USD could achieve a bounce.
FTSE analysis: Could Trump disrupt record-hitting European stock markets?
The upcoming week could kick off with a bang, even though Wall Street will sit Monday out due to Martin Luther King Day. Donald Trump is set to begin his second term as US President on the same day, ensuring a headline-filled start to the trading week.
Trade ideas
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD 1st Green Week in 7, but Can Support Hold?
EUR/USD has been in a bearish state since the Q4 open, and it was six consecutive red weeks until last week.
Gold Price Snaps Three-Day Rally Ahead of Trump Inauguration
The price of gold snaps a three-day rally to hold below the December high ($2726) ahead of the inauguration of US President Donald Trump.
USD/JPY Forecast: Trump and BoJ Set to Spark Volatility Amid Yield Disconnect
USD/JPY’s usual ties to Treasury yields are wilting, leaving the pair at the mercy of Trump’s tariff moves and the BoJ’s rate decision. With key levels in play and volatility brewing, this will set you up for the week ahead.
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Fresh 4-Year High on Trump Tariffs
USD/CAD set a fresh four-year-high late in the week and bulls retain control as President-elect Trump is set to be inaugurated on Monday.
GBP/USD Pullback Pushes RSI Toward Oversold Territory
GBP/USD continues to pullback from the weekly high (1.2307) as the UK Retail Sales report shows an unexpected 0.3% decline in December.
Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Bulls Tested Ahead of Trump
US Dollar plunged through support this week with a break of the monthly range threatening further losses. Battle lines drawn on the USD/JPY short-term technical charts.
King Dollar's Trump Rally: What Does it Mean for Macro?
The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in more than nine years, but a continuation of that theme may not be a great thing for U.S. equities, or the EUR/USD pair.
Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA set for strong weekly gains ahead of Trump's inauguration
U.S. stocks are heading higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones set to book the strongest weekly advances since November. Investors are waiting for further clues regarding Tump’s policies next week. Treasury yields have dipped this week and the USD has fallen, helping lift sentiment.
How Have US Elections Impacted the US Dollar?
The US Dollar Index has shown a tendency to fall during Republican presidencies and rise during Democratic presidencies dating back to George H. W. Bush in 1988
EUR/USD forecast: Forex Friday – January 17, 2025
The EUR/USD managed to bounce back to the $1.05 area after testing liquidity below this month’s earlier low of 1.0460 this morning, where traders apparently took profit after a 5-day losing run. The EUR/USD outlook remains negative, however, even if ECB President Christine Lagarde was not as dovish as some might have expected given the political and economic situations in the Eurozone.