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ECB hikes 75bps as expected; Scraps forward guidance
The tone set by the removal of forward guidance and the lack of information regarding QT led the markets to believe this was a dovish hike.
ECB hikes 75bps as expected; Scraps forward guidance
The tone set by the removal of forward guidance and the lack of information regarding QT led the markets to believe this was a dovish hike.
German Bund yields moving higher, bringing EUR/JPY with them
EUR/JPY may have caught on late, but it is moving higher with Bund yields in parabolic fashion.
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German Bund yields reach 1.0%; EUR/JPY moves higher with them
Bund yields are highly correlated with EUR/JPY on the weekly timeframe.
German Bund Yields almost at 0.00%
German Bund yields have been on a tear lately and are on their way towards a place they haven’t been in since May 2019
ECB Preview: Christine Lagarde will have to kick the can down the tightrope
The goal of this meeting will likely be to bide time
EUR/USD: 1.10 or 1.15 first in this important week?
Risk remained out of favour this morning as stocks tumbled and safe haven government bonds extended their rally, causing yields on the 10-year German bunds to drop below zero for the first time. In Britain, the equivalent yields have also fallen to a fresh record low level. This reflects the view that if Britain were to exit the EU, the Bank of England will have to either lower interest rates or introduce more QE to counter the economic consequences of Brexit. The probably that Brexit won’t happen has fallen to just 55% from around 64% on Monday, according to betting odds from Betfair.
Why are US 10-year yields nearing all-time lows…and what does it mean?
Nothing like a crazy day in the markets to get the old blood flowing again. In our research here, we typically focus on specific opportunities in the FX, commodity, and equity markets, but we would be remiss if we didn’t mention the massive move taking place in one of the world’s most important (and some would say “smartest”) market: bonds.
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