Gold Price Forecast: Gold Breakout Takes Out 2700 - 2721 Next Res
Gold Talking Points:
- Gold had previously built-in a consistent range. This followed the election sell-off that led-in to the strongest weekly outing for gold since the regional banking crisis in Q1 of 2023.
- Range support was tested last Thursday at 2617-2621 and since then, bulls have been pushing a topside trend with the 2700 level coming into play today. The next resistance sitting overhead is the same high that held prices after the post-election bounce, which spans with a Fibonacci level to create a zone $100 above prior range support, from 2717-2721.
It’s been a strong week for gold prices, which stands in contrast to the prior week-and-a-half when prices held within a consistent range, with support at 2617-2621 and resistance at 2643-2650 and 2660-2666.
I looked into the range at last week’s webinar when gold was grinding in the 2643-2650 zone; and a support test showed up two days later at 2617-2621. As the weekly bar closed price remained within that range, but it was around this week’s open when bulls started to stretch it, driving a Monday rally to the next point of resistance at 2675. That held the highs for a brief pullback but at that point, support showed at prior resistance, spanning from the 2660-2666 zone and that held as a higher-low, leading to another breakout.
When I looked at gold in yesterday’s webinar it was already close to the 2700 level, and as I shared then, bulls were exhibiting firm control of the move. There was support potential at prior resistance levels of both 2675 and 2685. The first test of 2700 led to a pullback but buyers held it above 2675, setting the stage for a second test which is taking place right now.
The next key zone overhead for bulls to encounter on continuation pushes is the same that held the highs in late-November, from 2717-2721. The 2717 level is the 14.4% retracement of the same major move that set the lows last month at the 50% mark; and 2721 is the swing high from that move. Collectively the two prices create a zone $100 above last week’s support of 2617-2621.
Gold Four-Hour Price Chart
Gold Bigger Picture
It was a strong run for gold in 2024 and that started to come into question after the election-fueled pullback. But this week’s strength is encouraging for gold bulls and this shows a clear sign of re-claiming control following the support exhibited on the past two weekly candles.
But, this also sets the stage for a key test at that 2717 Fibonacci level and that’s a price that buyers would want to see a weekly bar close above, as opposed to an upper wick indicating resistance response that could spell further consolidation.
Above 2717, it’s the 2750 level that buyers stumbled at in October and the 2800 level was left completely un-tested in spot, as the high printed about $10 inside of that big figure.
Gold Weekly Chart
--- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist
StoneX Financial Ltd (trading as "FOREX.com") is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, FOREX.com does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date.
This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it. No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by FOREX.com or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although FOREX.com is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, FOREX.com does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. For further details see our full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFD and Forex Trading are leveraged products and your capital is at risk. They may not be suitable for everyone. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved by reading our full risk warning.
FOREX.com is a trading name of StoneX Financial Ltd. StoneX Financial Ltd is a company incorporated in England and Wales with UK Companies House number 05616586 and with its registered office at 1st Floor, Moor House, 120 London Wall, London, EC2Y 5ET. StoneX Financial Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK, with FCA Register Number: 446717.
FOREX.com is a trademark of StoneX Financial Ltd. This website uses cookies to provide you with the very best experience and to know you better. By visiting our website with your browser set to allow cookies, you consent to our use of cookies as described in our Privacy Policy. FOREX.com products and services are not intended for Belgium residents.
© FOREX.COM 2024