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2025 Central Bank Outlook Preview

Major central banks may further adjust monetary policy in 2025 as the European Central Bank (ECB) insists that ‘the disinflation process is well on track,’ but the Federal Reserve may change gears at a slower pace as Chairman Jerome Powell and Co. forecast less rate-cuts for next year.

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By : David Song
December 23, 2024 06:30 PM

EUR/USD outlook: ECB set to deliver 25 basis point cut

Traders are eyeing the European Central Bank, which is set to announce its interest rate decision tomorrow. Market participants are eager to see if the ECB will maintain its cautious stance or signal any changes in policy amid the ongoing economic challenges in the Eurozone. This week’s developments could set the tone for EUR/USD outlook in the coming weeks.

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December 11, 2024 12:00 PM
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EUR/USD Monthly Opening Range Intact Ahead of ECB Rate Decision

EUR/USD snaps the series of higher highs and lows from last week after attempting to trade back above the former-support zone around the April low (1.0601).

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By : David Song
December 9, 2024 03:30 PM

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EUR/USD forecast: Currency Pair of the Week – December 9, 2024

Ahead of key macro events, the EUR/USD forecast remains modestly bearish, although the currency pair has found some love today thanks to optimism about more stimulus measures being introduced in China, one of the Eurozone’s major exports destinations.

The Fed, ECB, and More Explained: Central Bank FAQs for Forex Traders

Learn how the Fed, ECB, and BOJ impact forex markets. Get answers to FAQs on interest rates, currency trends, and trading strategies in this must-read guide.

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November 20, 2024 03:12 PM

EURUSD Analysis: Double Top Target Reached - What's Next?

EURUSD Analysis: Following a double top formation at the 1.120 resistance, EURUSD reached the target, pressured by a strong dollar and dovish ECB. Will the decline continue?

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October 18, 2024 04:47 AM
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EUR/JPY forecast: ECB cuts by 25 basis points

The EUR/USD held near 1.0850, near its lowest level since early August. The other euro crosses were mixed. However, the EUR/JPY forecast hadn’t quite turned bearish yet as it held above a key support and traders watched whether the USD/JPY pair would hold its latest attempt to break the 150.00 in response to a series of US data beats.

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October 17, 2024 08:30 AM
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Bears Continue into Expected ECB Rate Cut

EUR/USD bears have taken a swing and the pair is now working on its 13th red day in the past 14. And before that, bulls were persistently pushing into the 1.1200 handle so the contrast is stark. The question now is how dovish the ECB sounds at tomorrow’s widely-expected rate cut.

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October 16, 2024 12:31 PM

EURUSD Forecast: Pricing in the Rate Cut Case

EURUSD Forecast: In addition to the strength of the dollar between haven factors and moderated expectations of monetary easing, dovish expectations surrounding the ECB’s upcoming monetary policy decision are putting additional pressures on the Euro.

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October 15, 2024 04:03 AM

EUR/USD may need a dovish-ECB cut to extend its slide

Conditions for euro bears have been ripe for the past three weeks with renewed bets of an ECB cut alongside scaled-back bets of ECB easing. But given the depth of the selloff on EUR/USD, it could be vulnerable to a bounce unless a dovish cut is delivered.

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October 14, 2024 09:53 PM
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EUR/USD: Prepping for short squeeze given prevailing bearish sentiment

Everyone has been dunking on the euro and buying US dollars recently, explaining why EUR/USD has continued to sink. But with sentiment towards the common currency so dire, it won’t take much to spark a short squeeze. With major risk events approaching, the temptation to square up short trades may prove too appealing for some.

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October 14, 2024 08:47 PM

EUR/USD Outlook Hinges on ECB Interest Rate Decision

EUR/USD may consolidate ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision on October 17 as the exchange rate holds above the weekly low (1.0900).

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By : David Song
October 12, 2024 11:00 PM

EURUSD Outlook: Headwinds Ahead with Stable Dollar and ECB Decision

EURUSD Outlook: As the market leans toward a 25bp rate cut in the upcoming Fed decision, the US Dollar remains stable against the EURUSD, which is expected to face additional headwinds as the ECB approaches its own rate decision, also signaling a potential 25bp rate cut.

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September 12, 2024 03:21 AM
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EUR/USD in the crossfire of Presidential debate, US CPI and ECB: The Week Ahead

EUR/USD has managed to recoup some of last week’s losses as we head into Friday’s nonfarm payroll report. But for it to stand any chance of to a fresh YTD high, US CPI likely needs to continue softening and the ECB surprise with a less-than-expected dovish cut on Thursday.

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September 6, 2024 12:18 AM

EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Is the Euro's Uptrend Over?

EURUSD, DXY Analysis: With the US Dollar Index (DXY) holding above its December 2023 support, a significant drop in Spanish inflation rates, and a general cooldown in energy prices, the EURUSD is poised for heightened volatility as the market begins to price in September's monetary policies ahead of August's monthly close.

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August 29, 2024 05:00 AM
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Crude Oil Analysis: Commodities and Rising Tensions

Crude Oil Analysis: Amid growing haven demand for precious metals, geopolitical tensions have brought supply disruptions to the forefront, sharply lifting oil prices from their yearly lows.

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August 27, 2024 04:00 AM
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A busy week awaits, despite US data taking a back seat: The Week Ahead

US data steps away from the limelight to make way for inflation reports from the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Japan. And throw in an ECB meeting, Australian employment report and the CCP's Third Plenum for good measure.

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July 11, 2024 09:32 PM

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EURUSD Forecast: ECB Policies vs FED Policies

EURUSD Forecast: EURUSD is trading above of its key consolidation ahead of FOMC minutes

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Did the ECB Jump the Gun on Rate Cuts?

EUR/USD is holding below its rising trend line and the 50-day EMA in the 1.0820 region, hinting at the potential for more downside in the coming week.

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EUR/USD Forecast: ECB Cuts, Focus Shifts to US NFP, CPI, and FOMC

In this article, we are discussing the latest EUR/USD movements as the ECB cuts rates and focus shifts to US NFP, CPI, and FOMC. Stay updated on the modestly bullish trend and technical analysis insights on this pair.

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June 6, 2024 01:05 PM
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EUR/USD, EUR/JPY look ready to rip despite an anticipated ECB rate cut

The ECB are likely to perform a widely telegraphed rate cut, odds of a Fed cut have increased and futures traders are becoming increasingly bullish on EUR/USD. Beyond the meeting, the path of least resistance could be higher.

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June 5, 2024 11:06 PM

EURUSD Outlook: ECB Rate Cut vs U.S. Macro Developments

EURUSD Outlook: while the ECB’S actions are crucial for the for the EURUSD trend, U.S economic data could have a more dominant impact

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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Coiling Just Below Key 1.0900 Level

EUR/USD is rangebound for now but a break above 1.0890 could herald another leg up to 1.1000