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Canadian Dollar Post-BOC Rate Cut: USD/CAD Pushes Tepid Initial Breakout

The 50 bp cut from the Bank of Canada was well priced-in ahead of this morning’s announcement, and several longer-term resistance levels sit overhead around 1.3900, 1.3950 and 1.4000.

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October 23, 2024 10:57 AM
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JPY, EUR, CAD, AUD, Crude Oil Analysis: COT report

Large speculators flipped to net-short exposure to EUR/USD ahead of the French election. Open interest on CAD futures fell at its fastest pace in nearly one year as the sentiment extreme we warned of plays out. Net-long exposure to AUD/USD futures fell to a 3-year low, and prospects of net-long exposure are now on the horizon with the potential for an RBA hike.

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USD/JPY, USD/CAD implied volatility perks up, BOC and ISM up next

Today's BOC rate decision and an ISM report for the US places USD/CAD on volatility alert, alongside USD/JPY.

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June 5, 2024 01:25 AM

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USD, CAD, Gold, Copper, VIX, Wall Street analysis: COT report

Asset managers reached a record level of net-short exposure to VIX futures, days before prices fell to a record low. Traders also remain net-long USD despite losses in recent weeks.

Canadian Dollar Price Analysis: USD/CAD Breaks Out from Falling Wedge

USD/CAD is bouncing from range support while breaking out of a shorter-term falling wedge pattern. Can bulls hold higher-low support to continue the move?

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April 19, 2023 02:16 PM
Research

Canadian dollar analysis: USD/CAD knocking on key 1.3605 support

USD/CAD is forming a potential descending triangle pattern into 1.3650 support ahead of key data tomorrow.

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March 23, 2023 03:33 PM
Research

US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37

In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...

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March 13, 2023 10:54 AM

USD/CAD: Ascending Triangle, Fibonacci Resistance

USD/CAD is showing bullish breakout potential ahead of a busy economic calendar with the Bank of Canada on the calendar for tomorrow.

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March 7, 2023 09:43 AM
Research

Will USD/CAD break key resistance at 1.35 after soft Canadian CPI?

The just-released Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Canada rose 5.9% year-over-year in January...what does that mean for USD/CAD?

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February 21, 2023 09:21 AM
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Fiat Money: What is a Fiat Currency?

A fiat currency is a monetary instrument backed by a national government like the British pound or Canadian dollar. Learn how fiat currencies operate and how they compare to other types of money.

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February 17, 2023 11:05 AM
Research

BOC Governor Macklem sticks to the script, USD/CAD consolidates

The bank's latest forecast shows the annual rate of inflation slowing to around 3% by the middle of 2023, and reaching 2.5% by the fourth quarter.

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February 7, 2023 03:00 PM
Research

Market pricing and economists favour a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow

Market pricing and the consensus among economists firmly points towards a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow.

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January 23, 2023 07:11 PM

USD/CAD: A tale of two labor markets

Traders are still digesting last week’s US jobs report, but one thing is clear: The US labor market is outperforming Canada’s...

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August 9, 2022 03:57 PM
Downward trend

Technical view: CAD/JPY’s rally is lagging…are we seeing a reversal?

Fundamental trends show no imminent signs of reversing, but CAD/JPY’s chart nonetheless suggests that there may be an opportunity for one or both of these currencies to reverse some of this year’s moves.

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July 28, 2022 09:36 AM

Don’t sleep on USD/CAD’s consolidation at 1.25! The key levels to watch this week

Friday’s Canadian jobs report will be worth watching - see why!

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April 4, 2022 03:00 PM
Gold Sand

Two trades to watch: USD/CAD, Gold

USDCAD battles hawkish Fed & higher oil prices. Gold could come under pressure as Fed Powell talks hikes.

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March 22, 2022 04:18 AM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Divergences form between FX prices and trader positioning

As the data was compiled ahead of the FOMC meeting its likely there are some distortions in this week’s speculative positioning report.

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Canadian CPI at 30-year highs, USD/CAD bears remain in control

Canada’s annual inflation rate just rose to 4.8%, its highest level since 1991 - how will that impact USD/CAD?

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January 19, 2022 11:16 AM

Bank of Canada meeting preview: BOC inching closer to rate hikes

We expect the BOC to reiterate that the Canadian economy is on track for a full recovery next year, and that an interest rate hike cycle could begin as soon as H1...

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December 6, 2021 09:32 AM
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Asian Open: Tech Stocks Buck the Trend as Equities Move Lower

Technology stock diverged from the broader selloff on Wall Street as bonds yields were dragged lower as tensions between US and China resurfaced.

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October 27, 2021 06:13 PM
Downward trend

EUR/CAD: Lopsided short positioning may hint at a bullish reversal

When a market is seeing lopsided short positioning in deeply oversold territory after an historic collapse, the risks of an abrupt trend change start to rise...

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October 13, 2021 10:32 AM
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European Open: UK Data Dump and US CPI in Focus

A batch of UK data kicks off today’s session at 07:00 BST, although it is arguably US CPI which may steal the limelight given it remains a ‘hot’ topic.

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Asian Open: Traders Increase $7.2 billion to Net-Long USD exposure

Traders were their most bullish on the US dollar against other currencies at their highest level since June 2019, ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm payrolls miss.

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October 10, 2021 05:42 PM