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US Economy Proves Stronger-Than-Expected in 2024

The US economy performed better-than-expected in 2024, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgrading its growth forecast for the region.

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By : David Song
December 29, 2024 06:00 AM
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EUR/USD Forecast: The Price Breaks the Two-Year Support Zone

EUR/USD has recorded a 2% decline over the last five sessions, favoring the dollar and placing the euro in a sustained bearish zone.

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USD/JPY Rallies as Fed Forecasts Less Rate-Cuts for 2025

USD/JPY rallies to a fresh monthly high (154.64) even as the Federal Reserve implements a 25bp rate-cut at its last meeting for 2024.

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By : David Song
December 18, 2024 03:00 PM

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Crude Oil Week Ahead: China, PMIs, and FOMC Meeting

Crude Oil Week Ahead: After OPEC’s fifth downward revision for 2024 oil forecasts and additional cuts for 2025, crude oil prices stabilized near their 4-year support zone, buoyed by China’s stimulus commitments and significant Middle East reforms. Will it hold on FOMC week?

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US Dollar Rallies to Resistance After CPI, PPI and ECB Rate Cut

It’s been a strong Q4 for the US Dollar and the currency continues to test a big spot of longer-term resistance. But will the Fed usher in another massive USD rally in 2025?

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December 12, 2024 10:47 AM

Crude Oil, Gold Forecast: China and Geopolitics Revive Oil and Gold Trends

Crude Oil, Gold Forecast: Following China’s commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy in 2025, demand sentiment for Chinese oil and gold has surged, pushing crude oil above $70 and gold above $2,700. Middle East tensions continue to reinforce support levels for these commodities as drastic regional developments unfold.

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US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Bulls Poised for Key Fed Decision

US Dollar rebounded off trend support early in the month with the bulls in a holding pattern ahead of the Fed. Battle lines drawn on the DXY weekly technical chart.

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Gold Update: China's Stimulus Limits Bearish Action

Gold prices have shown a 6% growth since November, reaching the $2,700 per troy ounce level once again.

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December 10, 2024 04:00 PM
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US Dollar Price Action into CPI, FOMC: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, Gold

The US Dollar showed a strong support bounce since last Friday’s NFP report, setting the stage for resistance tests into tomorrow’s CPI and next week’s FOMC.

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US CPI Preview: Could a HOT Inflation Report Revive a Fed Pause?

The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25bps regardless of the CPI reading, though a hotter-than-expected print could certainly raise some questions for USD/CAD

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December 10, 2024 09:17 AM
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USD/JPY, AUD/JPY rally with China during risk-on trade

China's stock markets were given a nice bump on Monday after the Politburo announced an easing of policy stance. This allowed AUD/JPY and USD/JPY to deliver strong bounce from key support levels, as the yen weakened during a risk-on session for FX and commodities.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX is muted at record high ahead of CPI this week

U.S. stocks are all set for a muted open after reaching record highs last week and as investors look ahead to inflation data later in the week. Stocks in the US have rallied across the past three weeks as the Trump trade continued to play out. US CPI is due on Wednesday and is expected to rise 2.7% YoY in November.

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December 9, 2024 09:25 AM
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US Dollar Dips to 105.44 Support Test After NFP

USD weakness showed in the immediate aftermath of the NFP print, with the 105.44 level coming in to help hold support. EUR/USD is now testing resistance while USD/JPY trades below the 150.00 level.

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US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report Preview (NOV 2024)

The US is anticipated to add 200K jobs in November, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to increase to 4.2% from 4.1% during the same period.

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By : David Song
December 5, 2024 12:12 PM
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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Bulls Eye Resistance Ahead of NFP

A rebound off trend support keeps the focus on a breakout of the weekly range heading into NFPs on Friday. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

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US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/JPY

The US Dollar finally pulled back from its aggressive Q4 breakout move, and this was fueled by the strongest weekly outing in EUR/USD in two years with last week’s bounce.

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EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Inflation Data and Holiday Volatility

EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Eurozone inflation data is in focus as EURUSD hovers near two-year lows. Meanwhile, irregular market volatility surrounding Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year is poised to dominate headlines, alongside key US economic data and Federal Reserve rate expectations in early December.

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November 28, 2024 03:48 AM

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US Dollar Snaps Back, USD/JPY Descending Triangle Breakdown

USD/JPY bears have gone to work over the past two weeks, holding a lower-high even as USD spiked last Friday. And then forcing a breakdown from the descending triangle formation to test below the 151.95 level.

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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

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US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Report Preview (OCT 2024)

The update to the US PCE index is anticipated to show a rise in both the headline and core reading.

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By : David Song
November 26, 2024 11:00 AM

Crude Oil, GBPJPY Forecast: Ceasefire Potential, Trump Tariffs, and Inflation Rates

Crude Oil, GBPJPY Forecast: The lingering effects of Trump-era policies continue to shape broader market trends. Expectations of war resolutions are pressuring oil prices into a neutral stance, while tariff policies are fueling volatility across the US dollar rally.

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Crude Oil Week Ahead: Upside Risk and Wars vs Sunday's OPEC Meeting

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil’s 4-year support level has amplified its importance as supply disruption risks rise again amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, OPEC’s upcoming meeting on Sunday could reshape production quotas and influence market dynamics.

Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD 1.4000 Test After 4-Year Highs

USD/CAD tested above a major level last week of 1.4000, which hadn’t traded in more than four years. So far this week sellers have sunk price back below that level, but can they hold it into week and month-end?