David Scutt
David Scutt
Market Analyst
Expertise: Macroeconomics/fundamentals, strategy, market education
Trading Style: Swing
Experience:
• Former FX spot, forwards and money markets securities dealer/trader with more than 10 years’ experience working in bank treasury
• Managing interest rate and liquidity risk
• Regularly featured in publications such as Reuters, Wall Street Journal and Australian Financial Review
• Ex markets and economics editor for Business Insider, covering macroeconomic and major market events in Asia
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USD/NOK, NOK/JPY: Rate differentials and sentiment skew directional risks
Risk sentiment and rate differentials are dictating directional risks for USD/NOK and NOK/JPY. With weakening ties to US rates and oil, and carry trade flows dominating NOK/JPY, we look at setups as we head toward year-end.
USD/JPY forecast: Payrolls pivotal for bullish bond breakout, yen rally longevity
A bullish breakout in US bonds has sent USD/JPY tumbling below 150, with payrolls now poised to decide whether the yen’s surge gains momentum or fizzles out. Could this be the pivotal moment for bond markets and the Fed's rate path?
USD/JPY: Inflation surprise fuels yen surge, 200DMA break boosts downside risks
USD/JPY is tumbling, breaking through its 200-day moving average after Tokyo’s inflation data shocked to the upside. With US Treasury yields losing steam and thin markets amplifying moves, traders are eyeing a deeper downside flush. Could the yen’s resurgence have more room to run?
EUR/USD: Fading French political turmoil with the White Knight on standby
French political drama is generating noise again, but don’t be fooled; it's the relative outlook for growth and inflation either side of the Atlantic that’s really moving EUR/USD. With the ECB ready to step in, perpetual French chaos is just a sideshow for the euro.
NZD/USD shifting from US rates play to trade war proxy?
NZD/USD is gaining momentum, with US rates diminishing as the dominant driver. With trade war risks back on the radar, the Kiwi’s trajectory could hinge on global sentiment. Can it weather the turbulence?
USD/JPY crumbles as Treasury futures surge: key signals to watch
After USD/JPY’s dramatic plunge, the focus shifts to what’s next. Is this just the beginning of further downside, or could a rally toward the 200-day moving average provide fresh opportunities for shorts? Here's what signals from US Treasuries reveal on near-term directional risks.
RBNZ cuts 50bps, signals higher neutral estimate; NZD/USD surges as rate cut slowdown looms
The RBNZ took the safe option in delivering a 50bps cut, but hawkish signals have traders buzzing. Can NZD/USD sustain its breakout momentum, or will the US dollar reclaim control?
USD/JPY: Bearish break signals deeper slide as US yields retreat
USD/JPY bulls are on the back foot as US bond yields retreat, triggering a key technical break. With Scott Bessent’s bold fiscal plan easing fears and Fed rate cut bets fading, the pair now skews firmly to the downside.
Trump tariff threat roils markets: USD surges, CAD, AUD, NZD sink
Trump’s tariff threats send shockwaves through markets, driving the USD higher as trade-reliant currencies plunge. USD/CAD breaks to pandemic highs, while AUD and NZD reel from fears of escalating protectionism.
EUR/USD: Bessent bounce underpinned by bullish bond breakout
Scott Bessent’s treasury secretary nomination is already impacting markets, sending bond yields lower and sparking a sharp rebound in EUR/USD. But with yield spreads still heavily in favour of the US, the durability of the move faces questions.
USD/CHF: Path higher hits roadblock as Bessent's nomination sends bonds bid
Scott Bessent’s nomination as US treasury secretary has jolted markets in Asia, sending bond yields lower and stirring fresh volatility in USD/CHF. With Swiss policymakers hinting at bold moves and rate differentials still in the driver’s seat, is the pair’s uptrend primed to extend, or is a reversal brewing?