EUR/USD, FTSE and ETH/USD analysis - Technical Tuesday, March 12, 2024
- EUR/USD analysis: Bullish price structure ahead of US CPI
- FTSE analysis: UK’s benchmark stock index finally breaks out
- ETH/USD analysis: Could Ether follow Bitcoin in achieving a new record?
Welcome to another edition of Technical Tuesday, a weekly report where we highlight some of the most interesting markets that will hopefully appease technical analysts and traders alike. In this week’s report, we will analysis the EUR/USD, FTSE and Ether following recent bullish price action in all these markets.
Financial markets are awaiting the release of US CPI, due at 12:30 GMT. But markets are in a bullish mood, with European stocks and US futures on the rise, suggesting that investors are not expecting to see a hotter-than-expected inflation report this time around. In Europe, basic resources and banks were leading the charge, plenty of which found in the FTSE 100 index. The UK benchmark index was looking technically strong and could be the latest global index to hit a new record high in the coming days.
EUR/USD analysis: Bullish price structure ahead of US CPI
Ahead of the release of US CPI, the EUR/USD has been consolidating its recent gains, mirroring other major FX pairs. The world’s most heavily traded pair looks poised to break out and reach 1.10 handle from here, unless something dramatic happens that causes a massive shift in the dollar’s trajectory. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD was testing and holding above a key support area starting around 1.0920 to around 1.0885. This area is shaded in light blue on my chart and marks a prior resistance range.
The underlying trend is clearly bullish insofar as the short-term is concerned, with price above both the 21-day exponential and 200-day simple moving averages. There’s also a short-term bullish trend line established that goes back to February. If the recent bullish trend continues then 1.1000 could be the next upside objective, followed by the December’s high of 1.1140 thereafter.
FTSE analysis: UK’s benchmark stock index finally breaks out
Yesterday, I highlighted the potential for a breakout in the FTSE, thanks to rising commodity prices and a firmer Chinese equity market.
Well, today the index has risen relatively sharply, adding to its gains made the day before. In the process, the FTSE has broken above both the 7685/90 resistance level and the bearish trend line of its consolidation pattern. A daily close around current levels or higher would point to further follow-up technical buying in the days ahead.
Now that we have broken above the old 7685/90 resistance area, this zone is now the key area that the bulls will need to defend on any potential retracement. For as long as they hold their ground above this zone, the path of least resistance would remain to the upside.
From here, the bulls will be eyeing December’s high of 7769 next. Above that level, there won’t be many other reference points to watch until the February 2023’s record high at 8046 next. Could we get there in the next few days? I wouldn’t bet against it given how global markets have rallied this year.
ETH/USD analysis: Could Ether follow Bitcoin in achieving a new record?
Stocks indices are not the only assets hitting record highs. Gold and Bitcoin have recently rallied to unchartered territories on peak interest rates narrative. Now, the second largest crypto by market capitalisation could be on the verge of a breakout to a new all-time high.
Source: TradingVIew.com
ETHUSD formed large bullish engulfing candle on its daily chart on Monday, after recovering from a weaker start to close above the key $4,000 level. Monday’s range completely engulfed price action since Thursday. With $4,000 broken, today’s weakness could once again be faded as price tests this former resistance and psychological level. If so, a move above Monday’s high at $4091 could be on the cards next. But potentially, we could see Ether go on to rise all the way to the November 2021’s record high of $4867 in the coming days and weeks.
-- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst
Follow Fawad on Twitter @Trader_F_R
The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.
Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex, commodity futures, or digital assets, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to FOREX.com or GAIN Capital refer to StoneX Group Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.
Please note that foreign exchange and other leveraged trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved, seeking independent advice if necessary.
Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available to US residents.
FOREX.com is a trading name of GAIN Capital - FOREX.com Canada Limited, 30 Independence Blvd, Suite 300 (3rd floor), Warren, NJ 07059, USA is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization and Member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund. GAIN Capital – FOREX.com Canada Limited is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Stonex Group Inc.
Complaints are taken very seriously at FOREX.com. You can view our complaints procedure here.
© FOREX.COM 2024